Recent European heatwave conditions, driven by a persistent high-pressure system and warm air advection from southern regions, position Paris for a likely daily maximum near 37–38°C on July 29. Ensemble forecasts from major models show tight clustering around these values due to minimal expected cloud cover and light winds, which maximize daytime solar heating while limiting mixing with cooler air aloft. Urban heat island effects in central Paris further elevate observed readings by 1–2°C relative to rural stations. Short-range model runs through July 27 indicate low probability of significant cooling fronts or convective clouds that could cap temperatures below 36°C or push them to 39°C+, though minor shifts in boundary-layer moisture could still differentiate the top outcomes. Updated Météo-France guidance and next model cycles will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于7月29日巴黎最高气温？
7月29日巴黎最高气温？
37°C 36%
38°C 29%
36°C 26%
35°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-07-29
32°C or below
<1%
33°C
2%
34°C
2%
35°C
7%
36°C
26%
37°C
36%
38°C
29%
39°C
5%
40°C
1%
41°C
1%
42°C or higher
<1%
37°C 36%
38°C 29%
36°C 26%
35°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-07-29
32°C or below
$25 交易量
<1%
33°C
$25 交易量
2%
34°C
$25 交易量
2%
35°C
$33 交易量
7%
36°C
$82 交易量
26%
37°C
$234 交易量
36%
38°C
$120 交易量
29%
39°C
$40 交易量
5%
40°C
$40 交易量
1%
41°C
$30 交易量
1%
42°C or higher
$35 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent European heatwave conditions, driven by a persistent high-pressure system and warm air advection from southern regions, position Paris for a likely daily maximum near 37–38°C on July 29. Ensemble forecasts from major models show tight clustering around these values due to minimal expected cloud cover and light winds, which maximize daytime solar heating while limiting mixing with cooler air aloft. Urban heat island effects in central Paris further elevate observed readings by 1–2°C relative to rural stations. Short-range model runs through July 27 indicate low probability of significant cooling fronts or convective clouds that could cap temperatures below 36°C or push them to 39°C+, though minor shifts in boundary-layer moisture could still differentiate the top outcomes. Updated Météo-France guidance and next model cycles will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jul 27, 2026, 4:03 AM ET
交易量
$688结束日期
2026-07-29市场开放时间
Jul 27, 2026, 4:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent European heatwave conditions, driven by a persistent high-pressure system and warm air advection from southern regions, position Paris for a likely daily maximum near 37–38°C on July 29. Ensemble forecasts from major models show tight clustering around these values due to minimal expected cloud cover and light winds, which maximize daytime solar heating while limiting mixing with cooler air aloft. Urban heat island effects in central Paris further elevate observed readings by 1–2°C relative to rural stations. Short-range model runs through July 27 indicate low probability of significant cooling fronts or convective clouds that could cap temperatures below 36°C or push them to 39°C+, though minor shifts in boundary-layer moisture could still differentiate the top outcomes. Updated Météo-France guidance and next model cycles will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$688结束日期
2026-07-29市场开放时间
Jul 27, 2026, 4:03 AM ETRecent European heatwave conditions, driven by a persistent high-pressure system and warm air advection from southern regions, position Paris for a likely daily maximum near 37–38°C on July 29. Ensemble forecasts from major models show tight clustering around these values due to minimal expected cloud cover and light winds, which maximize daytime solar heating while limiting mixing with cooler air aloft. Urban heat island effects in central Paris further elevate observed readings by 1–2°C relative to rural stations. Short-range model runs through July 27 indicate low probability of significant cooling fronts or convective clouds that could cap temperatures below 36°C or push them to 39°C+, though minor shifts in boundary-layer moisture could still differentiate the top outcomes. Updated Météo-France guidance and next model cycles will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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