Current National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance for San Francisco on June 30 points to a high near 66–69°F, aligning with the market’s tight clustering on those bins. Persistent onshore flow and a shallow marine layer off the Pacific are expected to limit daytime warming, consistent with climatological norms where June highs average 67°F at downtown and airport stations. Recent model runs show no strong offshore wind shift or upper-level ridge that would allow temperatures to reach the low 70s, while fog clearance timing and boundary-layer mixing remain the key variables that could nudge readings slightly higher or keep them capped near 66°F.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in San Francisco on June 30?
68-69°F 29%
66-67°F 21%
70-71°F 19%
72-73°F 10.1%
$15,516 交易量
$15,516 交易量
57°F or below
1%
58-59°F
1%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
3%
64-65°F
10%
66-67°F
21%
68-69°F
29%
70-71°F
19%
72-73°F
10%
74-75°F
4%
76°F or higher
2%
68-69°F 29%
66-67°F 21%
70-71°F 19%
72-73°F 10.1%
$15,516 交易量
$15,516 交易量
57°F or below
1%
58-59°F
1%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
3%
64-65°F
10%
66-67°F
21%
68-69°F
29%
70-71°F
19%
72-73°F
10%
74-75°F
4%
76°F or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 28, 2026, 11:02 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance for San Francisco on June 30 points to a high near 66–69°F, aligning with the market’s tight clustering on those bins. Persistent onshore flow and a shallow marine layer off the Pacific are expected to limit daytime warming, consistent with climatological norms where June highs average 67°F at downtown and airport stations. Recent model runs show no strong offshore wind shift or upper-level ridge that would allow temperatures to reach the low 70s, while fog clearance timing and boundary-layer mixing remain the key variables that could nudge readings slightly higher or keep them capped near 66°F.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题