Recent forecasts from models such as those referenced by the South African Weather Service and international sources indicate a daytime high near 15°C for Cape Town on July 1, aligning with the market's leading 38% implied probability for that exact outcome. In the Southern Hemisphere winter, the region's Mediterranean climate features cool, moist conditions driven by prevailing westerly winds and Atlantic cold fronts, with recent late-June systems reinforcing below-average temperatures. Climatological baselines place July highs around 15–17°C, and short-range guidance shows limited warming potential before the date, keeping 16°C and 17°C as secondary contenders while suppressing odds for extremes above 19°C. Updated model runs in the coming days will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Cape Town on July 1?
Highest temperature in Cape Town on July 1?
15°C 39%
16°C 19%
17°C 13%
14°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-07-01
10°C or below
1%
11°C
2%
12°C
2%
13°C
6%
14°C
10%
15°C
39%
16°C
19%
17°C
13%
18°C
4%
19°C
3%
20°C or higher
4%
15°C 39%
16°C 19%
17°C 13%
14°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-07-01
10°C or below
$15 交易量
1%
11°C
$10 交易量
2%
12°C
$0 交易量
2%
13°C
$0 交易量
6%
14°C
$0 交易量
10%
15°C
$115 交易量
39%
16°C
$0 交易量
19%
17°C
$0 交易量
13%
18°C
$10 交易量
4%
19°C
$10 交易量
3%
20°C or higher
$58 交易量
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models such as those referenced by the South African Weather Service and international sources indicate a daytime high near 15°C for Cape Town on July 1, aligning with the market's leading 38% implied probability for that exact outcome. In the Southern Hemisphere winter, the region's Mediterranean climate features cool, moist conditions driven by prevailing westerly winds and Atlantic cold fronts, with recent late-June systems reinforcing below-average temperatures. Climatological baselines place July highs around 15–17°C, and short-range guidance shows limited warming potential before the date, keeping 16°C and 17°C as secondary contenders while suppressing odds for extremes above 19°C. Updated model runs in the coming days will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jun 29, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
交易量
$141结束日期
2026-07-01市场开放时间
Jun 29, 2026, 1:02 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models such as those referenced by the South African Weather Service and international sources indicate a daytime high near 15°C for Cape Town on July 1, aligning with the market's leading 38% implied probability for that exact outcome. In the Southern Hemisphere winter, the region's Mediterranean climate features cool, moist conditions driven by prevailing westerly winds and Atlantic cold fronts, with recent late-June systems reinforcing below-average temperatures. Climatological baselines place July highs around 15–17°C, and short-range guidance shows limited warming potential before the date, keeping 16°C and 17°C as secondary contenders while suppressing odds for extremes above 19°C. Updated model runs in the coming days will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$141结束日期
2026-07-01市场开放时间
Jun 29, 2026, 1:02 AM ETRecent forecasts from models such as those referenced by the South African Weather Service and international sources indicate a daytime high near 15°C for Cape Town on July 1, aligning with the market's leading 38% implied probability for that exact outcome. In the Southern Hemisphere winter, the region's Mediterranean climate features cool, moist conditions driven by prevailing westerly winds and Atlantic cold fronts, with recent late-June systems reinforcing below-average temperatures. Climatological baselines place July highs around 15–17°C, and short-range guidance shows limited warming potential before the date, keeping 16°C and 17°C as secondary contenders while suppressing odds for extremes above 19°C. Updated model runs in the coming days will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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