Trader sentiment for Chengdu's July 1 high temperature centers on typical early-July patterns in the Sichuan basin, where average highs reach about 30°C amid high humidity and frequent convective showers. Short-term forecast guidance from sources like AccuWeather and local models points to 28–31°C as the most probable range, driven by monsoon moisture, potential afternoon thunderstorms, and variable cloud cover that can suppress peak readings. The spread across 29–32°C outcomes reflects genuine uncertainty from model differences in timing of precipitation and steering patterns, with no major heatwave or anomalous subtropical ridge currently indicated to push extremes higher. Historical July variability supports this clustered distribution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Chengdu on July 1?
31°C 22%
29°C 21%
30°C 16%
32°C 16%
25°C or below
2%
26°C
3%
27°C
4%
28°C
10%
29°C
21%
30°C
16%
31°C
22%
32°C
16%
33°C
7%
34°C
3%
35°C or higher
4%
31°C 22%
29°C 21%
30°C 16%
32°C 16%
25°C or below
2%
26°C
3%
27°C
4%
28°C
10%
29°C
21%
30°C
16%
31°C
22%
32°C
16%
33°C
7%
34°C
3%
35°C or higher
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 29, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Trader sentiment for Chengdu's July 1 high temperature centers on typical early-July patterns in the Sichuan basin, where average highs reach about 30°C amid high humidity and frequent convective showers. Short-term forecast guidance from sources like AccuWeather and local models points to 28–31°C as the most probable range, driven by monsoon moisture, potential afternoon thunderstorms, and variable cloud cover that can suppress peak readings. The spread across 29–32°C outcomes reflects genuine uncertainty from model differences in timing of precipitation and steering patterns, with no major heatwave or anomalous subtropical ridge currently indicated to push extremes higher. Historical July variability supports this clustered distribution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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