Recent monsoon advancement over northern India is the main driver moderating Lucknow's July 1 maximum, with official IMD guidance and multiple models projecting increased cloud cover, humidity, and scattered showers that typically suppress peak temperatures by 3–6°C relative to late-June values near 40°C. Ensemble forecasts from AccuWeather and timeanddate place the daily high near 32–35°C, while climatological baselines for early July average 34°C; variability hinges on exact rainfall timing and steering patterns. Trader consensus reflected in the 41.5% probability for 34°C or higher versus 24.5% for exactly 32°C captures this uncertainty, as additional convective activity or delayed monsoon progression could still permit brief spikes above 34°C before resolution. Updated NWP runs over the next 48 hours will refine these bounds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Lucknow on July 1?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on July 1?
34°C or higher 41%
32°C 30%
33°C 18%
31°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-07-01
24°C or below
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
2%
29°C
5%
30°C
5%
31°C
9%
32°C
25%
33°C
18%
34°C or higher
41%
34°C or higher 41%
32°C 30%
33°C 18%
31°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-07-01
24°C or below
$2,244 交易量
1%
25°C
$30 交易量
1%
26°C
$0 交易量
1%
27°C
$0 交易量
2%
28°C
$5 交易量
2%
29°C
$33 交易量
5%
30°C
$111 交易量
5%
31°C
$23 交易量
9%
32°C
$5 交易量
25%
33°C
$25 交易量
18%
34°C or higher
$123 交易量
41%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent monsoon advancement over northern India is the main driver moderating Lucknow's July 1 maximum, with official IMD guidance and multiple models projecting increased cloud cover, humidity, and scattered showers that typically suppress peak temperatures by 3–6°C relative to late-June values near 40°C. Ensemble forecasts from AccuWeather and timeanddate place the daily high near 32–35°C, while climatological baselines for early July average 34°C; variability hinges on exact rainfall timing and steering patterns. Trader consensus reflected in the 41.5% probability for 34°C or higher versus 24.5% for exactly 32°C captures this uncertainty, as additional convective activity or delayed monsoon progression could still permit brief spikes above 34°C before resolution. Updated NWP runs over the next 48 hours will refine these bounds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jun 29, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
交易量
$2,566结束日期
2026-07-01市场开放时间
Jun 29, 2026, 1:02 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent monsoon advancement over northern India is the main driver moderating Lucknow's July 1 maximum, with official IMD guidance and multiple models projecting increased cloud cover, humidity, and scattered showers that typically suppress peak temperatures by 3–6°C relative to late-June values near 40°C. Ensemble forecasts from AccuWeather and timeanddate place the daily high near 32–35°C, while climatological baselines for early July average 34°C; variability hinges on exact rainfall timing and steering patterns. Trader consensus reflected in the 41.5% probability for 34°C or higher versus 24.5% for exactly 32°C captures this uncertainty, as additional convective activity or delayed monsoon progression could still permit brief spikes above 34°C before resolution. Updated NWP runs over the next 48 hours will refine these bounds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,566结束日期
2026-07-01市场开放时间
Jun 29, 2026, 1:02 AM ETRecent monsoon advancement over northern India is the main driver moderating Lucknow's July 1 maximum, with official IMD guidance and multiple models projecting increased cloud cover, humidity, and scattered showers that typically suppress peak temperatures by 3–6°C relative to late-June values near 40°C. Ensemble forecasts from AccuWeather and timeanddate place the daily high near 32–35°C, while climatological baselines for early July average 34°C; variability hinges on exact rainfall timing and steering patterns. Trader consensus reflected in the 41.5% probability for 34°C or higher versus 24.5% for exactly 32°C captures this uncertainty, as additional convective activity or delayed monsoon progression could still permit brief spikes above 34°C before resolution. Updated NWP runs over the next 48 hours will refine these bounds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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