Recent cold fronts and associated cloud cover have suppressed daytime heating across São Paulo, producing forecast highs of 21–23°C for June 27 with possible light rain, consistent with climatological winter averages near 22–24°C. Market-implied odds cluster tightly on 23–25°C because model consensus shows modest uncertainty in cloud timing and residual moisture, which can either cap or briefly allow temperatures to reach the upper end of that range. Traders weigh these factors against historical June maxima rarely exceeding 25°C under similar synoptic patterns, creating balanced probabilities across the leading outcomes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6月27日圣保罗的最高温度?
24°C 40%
23°C 28%
22°C 14%
25°C 12%
$13,024 交易量
$13,024 交易量
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
14%
23°C
28%
24°C
40%
25°C
12%
26°C
3%
27°C or higher
1%
24°C 40%
23°C 28%
22°C 14%
25°C 12%
$13,024 交易量
$13,024 交易量
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
14%
23°C
28%
24°C
40%
25°C
12%
26°C
3%
27°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 25, 2026, 9:01 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent cold fronts and associated cloud cover have suppressed daytime heating across São Paulo, producing forecast highs of 21–23°C for June 27 with possible light rain, consistent with climatological winter averages near 22–24°C. Market-implied odds cluster tightly on 23–25°C because model consensus shows modest uncertainty in cloud timing and residual moisture, which can either cap or briefly allow temperatures to reach the upper end of that range. Traders weigh these factors against historical June maxima rarely exceeding 25°C under similar synoptic patterns, creating balanced probabilities across the leading outcomes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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