**Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 34–35°C for Taipei’s July 7 daily maximum**, reflecting official short-range guidance from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration and global models that project highs of 33–36°C under typical mid-summer conditions. Peak July insolation, elevated sea-surface temperatures in the surrounding waters, and a weak steering pattern favor daytime heating to the mid-30s, while scattered afternoon convection and moderate humidity keep extreme outliers (37°C+) plausible but not dominant. Historical July averages near 33–34°C provide climatological support for the leading outcomes, yet forecast spread from ensemble runs leaves room for slight model shifts in the final 48 hours before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Taipei on July 7?
Highest temperature in Taipei on July 7?
35°C 32%
34°C 23%
36°C 20%
33°C 17%
最新
$22,813 交易量
最新
$22,813 交易量
2026-07-07
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
7%
33°C
17%
34°C
23%
35°C
32%
36°C
20%
37°C or higher
6%
35°C 32%
34°C 23%
36°C 20%
33°C 17%
最新
$22,813 交易量
最新
$22,813 交易量
2026-07-07
27°C or below
$1,037 交易量
<1%
28°C
$686 交易量
<1%
29°C
$1,017 交易量
<1%
30°C
$1,867 交易量
<1%
31°C
$1,564 交易量
1%
32°C
$1,725 交易量
7%
33°C
$1,332 交易量
17%
34°C
$3,628 交易量
23%
35°C
$6,495 交易量
32%
36°C
$1,687 交易量
20%
37°C or higher
$1,813 交易量
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 34–35°C for Taipei’s July 7 daily maximum**, reflecting official short-range guidance from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration and global models that project highs of 33–36°C under typical mid-summer conditions. Peak July insolation, elevated sea-surface temperatures in the surrounding waters, and a weak steering pattern favor daytime heating to the mid-30s, while scattered afternoon convection and moderate humidity keep extreme outliers (37°C+) plausible but not dominant. Historical July averages near 33–34°C provide climatological support for the leading outcomes, yet forecast spread from ensemble runs leaves room for slight model shifts in the final 48 hours before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jul 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$22,813结束日期
2026-07-07市场开放时间
Jul 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 34–35°C for Taipei’s July 7 daily maximum**, reflecting official short-range guidance from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration and global models that project highs of 33–36°C under typical mid-summer conditions. Peak July insolation, elevated sea-surface temperatures in the surrounding waters, and a weak steering pattern favor daytime heating to the mid-30s, while scattered afternoon convection and moderate humidity keep extreme outliers (37°C+) plausible but not dominant. Historical July averages near 33–34°C provide climatological support for the leading outcomes, yet forecast spread from ensemble runs leaves room for slight model shifts in the final 48 hours before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$22,813结束日期
2026-07-07市场开放时间
Jul 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ET**Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 34–35°C for Taipei’s July 7 daily maximum**, reflecting official short-range guidance from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration and global models that project highs of 33–36°C under typical mid-summer conditions. Peak July insolation, elevated sea-surface temperatures in the surrounding waters, and a weak steering pattern favor daytime heating to the mid-30s, while scattered afternoon convection and moderate humidity keep extreme outliers (37°C+) plausible but not dominant. Historical July averages near 33–34°C provide climatological support for the leading outcomes, yet forecast spread from ensemble runs leaves room for slight model shifts in the final 48 hours before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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