Forecast models from agencies like the ECMWF and GFS show a building high-pressure ridge over central Europe driving southerly warm-air advection and clear skies over Warsaw, supporting peak temperatures near 35–36°C on June 27. These conditions favor strong daytime insolation with limited cloud cover or precipitation, consistent with the closely matched market-implied odds for those two outcomes. Minor differences between 35°C and 36°C hinge on small variations in boundary-layer mixing, exact wind speeds, and local urban heat effects, while lower probabilities for 37°C+ reflect limited model support for stronger warming. Updated short-range runs and official observations in the next 48 hours will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6月27日华沙最高气温？
6月27日华沙最高气温？
35°C 45%
36°C 38%
34°C 14%
37℃ 4.7%
$38,181 交易量
$38,181 交易量
2026-06-27
30°C或以下
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
1%
34°C
14%
35°C
45%
36°C
38%
37℃
5%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C或更高
<1%
35°C 45%
36°C 38%
34°C 14%
37℃ 4.7%
$38,181 交易量
$38,181 交易量
2026-06-27
30°C或以下
$2,078 交易量
<1%
31°C
$1,530 交易量
1%
32°C
$2,650 交易量
<1%
33°C
$2,675 交易量
1%
34°C
$3,240 交易量
14%
35°C
$17,661 交易量
45%
36°C
$2,677 交易量
38%
37℃
$2,411 交易量
5%
38°C
$1,674 交易量
<1%
39°C
$911 交易量
<1%
40°C或更高
$673 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies like the ECMWF and GFS show a building high-pressure ridge over central Europe driving southerly warm-air advection and clear skies over Warsaw, supporting peak temperatures near 35–36°C on June 27. These conditions favor strong daytime insolation with limited cloud cover or precipitation, consistent with the closely matched market-implied odds for those two outcomes. Minor differences between 35°C and 36°C hinge on small variations in boundary-layer mixing, exact wind speeds, and local urban heat effects, while lower probabilities for 37°C+ reflect limited model support for stronger warming. Updated short-range runs and official observations in the next 48 hours will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jun 25, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
交易量
$38,181结束日期
2026-06-27市场开放时间
Jun 25, 2026, 1:02 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies like the ECMWF and GFS show a building high-pressure ridge over central Europe driving southerly warm-air advection and clear skies over Warsaw, supporting peak temperatures near 35–36°C on June 27. These conditions favor strong daytime insolation with limited cloud cover or precipitation, consistent with the closely matched market-implied odds for those two outcomes. Minor differences between 35°C and 36°C hinge on small variations in boundary-layer mixing, exact wind speeds, and local urban heat effects, while lower probabilities for 37°C+ reflect limited model support for stronger warming. Updated short-range runs and official observations in the next 48 hours will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$38,181结束日期
2026-06-27市场开放时间
Jun 25, 2026, 1:02 AM ETForecast models from agencies like the ECMWF and GFS show a building high-pressure ridge over central Europe driving southerly warm-air advection and clear skies over Warsaw, supporting peak temperatures near 35–36°C on June 27. These conditions favor strong daytime insolation with limited cloud cover or precipitation, consistent with the closely matched market-implied odds for those two outcomes. Minor differences between 35°C and 36°C hinge on small variations in boundary-layer mixing, exact wind speeds, and local urban heat effects, while lower probabilities for 37°C+ reflect limited model support for stronger warming. Updated short-range runs and official observations in the next 48 hours will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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