Recent numerical weather prediction models, including those from global and regional centers, converge on a July 7 high near 31–32 °C for Wuhan as the western Pacific subtropical high sustains warm, moist southerly flow across the Yangtze River valley. Afternoon convection and associated cloud cover introduce the main uncertainty, potentially capping the peak 1–2 °C below guidance if thunderstorms develop earlier than expected. July climatology shows typical maxima of 31–33 °C, but the current five-day window still allows modest cooling from transient moisture surges. This scientific range underpins the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 29–31 °C.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Wuhan on July 7?
31°C 30%
32°C 23.8%
33°C or higher 19.0%
30°C 18%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
10%
30°C
18%
31°C
30%
32°C
24%
33°C or higher
19%
31°C 30%
32°C 23.8%
33°C or higher 19.0%
30°C 18%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
10%
30°C
18%
31°C
30%
32°C
24%
33°C or higher
19%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jul 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent numerical weather prediction models, including those from global and regional centers, converge on a July 7 high near 31–32 °C for Wuhan as the western Pacific subtropical high sustains warm, moist southerly flow across the Yangtze River valley. Afternoon convection and associated cloud cover introduce the main uncertainty, potentially capping the peak 1–2 °C below guidance if thunderstorms develop earlier than expected. July climatology shows typical maxima of 31–33 °C, but the current five-day window still allows modest cooling from transient moisture surges. This scientific range underpins the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 29–31 °C.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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