Wuhan's late-June temperatures reflect peak East Asian monsoon influence, with the subtropical high providing subsidence and solar heating tempered by lingering moisture, variable cloud cover, and light winds that curb peak insolation. Current ensemble guidance from global and regional models centers daily maxima near 31–33 °C, consistent with climatological late-June averages of 30–32 °C and recent observed highs in the low-30s amid patchy rain or haze. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 32 °C versus 33 °C versus 31 °C arises from small forecast differences in afternoon cloud fraction and boundary-layer moisture, which can shift realized maxima by 1–2 °C. CMA and international model updates over the next 48 hours will refine these variables ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6月29日武汉气温最高?
32°C 32%
33°C 23%
31°C 20%
30°C 14%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
9%
30°C
14%
31°C
20%
32°C
32%
33°C
23%
34°C or higher
3%
32°C 32%
33°C 23%
31°C 20%
30°C 14%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
9%
30°C
14%
31°C
20%
32°C
32%
33°C
23%
34°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 27, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wuhan's late-June temperatures reflect peak East Asian monsoon influence, with the subtropical high providing subsidence and solar heating tempered by lingering moisture, variable cloud cover, and light winds that curb peak insolation. Current ensemble guidance from global and regional models centers daily maxima near 31–33 °C, consistent with climatological late-June averages of 30–32 °C and recent observed highs in the low-30s amid patchy rain or haze. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 32 °C versus 33 °C versus 31 °C arises from small forecast differences in afternoon cloud fraction and boundary-layer moisture, which can shift realized maxima by 1–2 °C. CMA and international model updates over the next 48 hours will refine these variables ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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