Recent July nonfarm payrolls unexpectedly contracted by 23,000 jobs against forecasts near 80,000–95,000, with sizable downward revisions to prior months and unemployment easing only modestly to 4.1 percent amid falling labor-force participation. This fresh evidence of softening demand, concentrated in government, retail, and hospitality, has shifted trader focus toward muted August gains near or below the 50,000–100,000 range. The close contest between the top two buckets reflects uncertainty over whether seasonal summer hiring will provide any offset or whether the slowdown will persist ahead of the September 4 release. Markets continue to weigh these labor signals against upcoming inflation prints and FOMC communications that could influence policy expectations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于5万 – 10万 31%
0 – 5万 28%
150k+ 16%
-50k – 0 13%
$13,897 交易量
$13,897 交易量
<-50k
8%
-50k – 0
13%
0 – 5万
28%
5万 – 10万
31%
100k – 150k
12%
150k+
16%
5万 – 10万 31%
0 – 5万 28%
150k+ 16%
-50k – 0 13%
$13,897 交易量
$13,897 交易量
<-50k
8%
-50k – 0
13%
0 – 5万
28%
5万 – 10万
31%
100k – 150k
12%
150k+
16%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm
市场开放时间： Aug 7, 2026, 1:07 PM ET
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm
Recent July nonfarm payrolls unexpectedly contracted by 23,000 jobs against forecasts near 80,000–95,000, with sizable downward revisions to prior months and unemployment easing only modestly to 4.1 percent amid falling labor-force participation. This fresh evidence of softening demand, concentrated in government, retail, and hospitality, has shifted trader focus toward muted August gains near or below the 50,000–100,000 range. The close contest between the top two buckets reflects uncertainty over whether seasonal summer hiring will provide any offset or whether the slowdown will persist ahead of the September 4 release. Markets continue to weigh these labor signals against upcoming inflation prints and FOMC communications that could influence policy expectations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题