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icon for KOSPI在2028年之前创下历史新高?

KOSPI在2028年之前创下历史新高?

icon for KOSPI在2028年之前创下历史新高?

KOSPI在2028年之前创下历史新高?

67% 概率
Polymarket
最新

67% 概率
Polymarket
最新
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the KOSPI (Korea Composite Stock Price Index) records an intraday or close value above 9,385.59 — its official all-time intraday high as published by the Korea Exchange, set on June 19, 2026 — at any point between the creation of this market and December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM KST. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only index values recorded during the regular trading session of the Korea Exchange will be considered. Values implied by futures, ETFs, options, or other derivative instruments will not qualify. Index values will be used exactly as published, without rounding. The primary resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance (https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EKS11/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Strong AI-driven demand for high-bandwidth memory has propelled the KOSPI toward recent intraday highs above 7,100, with Samsung Electronics and SK hynix leading sharp gains on expectations for sustained semiconductor earnings growth through 2027–2028. Goldman Sachs and other strategists highlight the index’s low forward price-to-earnings ratio near 5.3–5.6x alongside upward revisions to corporate profits and GDP forecasts, supporting elevated year-end targets of 9,300–12,000. Recent sessions showed heavy foreign and institutional inflows offsetting retail selling, though volatility from surging oil prices, U.S. inflation data, and trade tensions caused pullbacks below 7,000. These dynamics underpin the 66% market-implied odds that the all-time high will be surpassed well before the 2028 deadline.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the KOSPI (Korea Composite Stock Price Index) records an intraday or close value above 9,385.59 — its official all-time intraday high as published by the Korea Exchange, set on June 19, 2026 — at any point between the creation of this market and December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM KST. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Only index values recorded during the regular trading session of the Korea Exchange will be considered. Values implied by futures, ETFs, options, or other derivative instruments will not qualify.

Index values will be used exactly as published, without rounding.

The primary resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance (https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EKS11/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the KOSPI (Korea Composite Stock Price Index) records an intraday or close value above 9,385.59 — its official all-time intraday high as published by the Korea Exchange, set on June 19, 2026 — at any point between the creation of this market and December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM KST. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only index values recorded during the regular trading session of the Korea Exchange will be considered. Values implied by futures, ETFs, options, or other derivative instruments will not qualify. Index values will be used exactly as published, without rounding. The primary resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance (https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EKS11/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$2,410
结束日期
2027-12-31
市场开放时间
Sep 7, 2026, 3:08 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the KOSPI (Korea Composite Stock Price Index) records an intraday or close value above 9,385.59 — its official all-time intraday high as published by the Korea Exchange, set on June 19, 2026 — at any point between the creation of this market and December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM KST. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only index values recorded during the regular trading session of the Korea Exchange will be considered. Values implied by futures, ETFs, options, or other derivative instruments will not qualify. Index values will be used exactly as published, without rounding. The primary resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance (https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EKS11/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Strong AI-driven demand for high-bandwidth memory has propelled the KOSPI toward recent intraday highs above 7,100, with Samsung Electronics and SK hynix leading sharp gains on expectations for sustained semiconductor earnings growth through 2027–2028. Goldman Sachs and other strategists highlight the index’s low forward price-to-earnings ratio near 5.3–5.6x alongside upward revisions to corporate profits and GDP forecasts, supporting elevated year-end targets of 9,300–12,000. Recent sessions showed heavy foreign and institutional inflows offsetting retail selling, though volatility from surging oil prices, U.S. inflation data, and trade tensions caused pullbacks below 7,000. These dynamics underpin the 66% market-implied odds that the all-time high will be surpassed well before the 2028 deadline.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the KOSPI (Korea Composite Stock Price Index) records an intraday or close value above 9,385.59 — its official all-time intraday high as published by the Korea Exchange, set on June 19, 2026 — at any point between the creation of this market and December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM KST. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Only index values recorded during the regular trading session of the Korea Exchange will be considered. Values implied by futures, ETFs, options, or other derivative instruments will not qualify.

Index values will be used exactly as published, without rounding.

The primary resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance (https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EKS11/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the KOSPI (Korea Composite Stock Price Index) records an intraday or close value above 9,385.59 — its official all-time intraday high as published by the Korea Exchange, set on June 19, 2026 — at any point between the creation of this market and December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM KST. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only index values recorded during the regular trading session of the Korea Exchange will be considered. Values implied by futures, ETFs, options, or other derivative instruments will not qualify. Index values will be used exactly as published, without rounding. The primary resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance (https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EKS11/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$2,410
结束日期
2028-01-01
市场开放时间
Sep 7, 2026, 3:08 PM ET

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常见问题

"KOSPI在2028年之前创下历史新高?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 2 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"KOSPI会在2028年前创下历史新高吗?",概率为 67%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 67¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 67%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

"KOSPI在2028年之前创下历史新高?"是 Polymarket 上新创建的市场,于Sep 7, 2026上线。作为一个新市场,这是你率先设定赔率并建立初始价格信号的机会。你也可以将本页加入书签,以便跟踪交易量和活动。

要在"KOSPI在2028年之前创下历史新高?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 2 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"KOSPI在2028年之前创下历史新高?"的当前领先者是"KOSPI会在2028年前创下历史新高吗?",概率为 67%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 67%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

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