Trader consensus around 71°F or below (40.5%) and the 78–81°F cluster reflects forecast uncertainty in overnight radiational cooling for Miami on July 17. Typical July minimums hover near 78–81°F under high humidity and subtropical maritime air, but scattered thunderstorms or variable cloud cover can either suppress cooling by trapping longwave radiation or enhance it during clearer intervals after daytime heating. Recent model runs show slight disagreements on convective timing and sea-breeze strength, which directly modulate minimum temperatures; stronger onshore flow or lingering moisture tends to keep lows elevated near 80°F while drier, clearer conditions favor the lower bins. Upcoming NHC and local WFO updates will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于7月17日迈阿密最低气温？
7月17日迈阿密最低气温？
82-83°F 50%
80-81°F 38%
78-79°F 37%
71°F或更低 34%
最新
最新
2026-07-17
71°F或更低
34%
72-73°F
31%
74-75°F
31%
76-77°F
31%
78-79°F
37%
80-81°F
38%
82-83°F
50%
84-85°F
15%
86-87°F
15%
88-89°F
1%
华氏90度或更高
1%
82-83°F 50%
80-81°F 38%
78-79°F 37%
71°F或更低 34%
最新
最新
2026-07-17
71°F或更低
$37 交易量
34%
72-73°F
$5 交易量
31%
74-75°F
$0 交易量
31%
76-77°F
$0 交易量
31%
78-79°F
$0 交易量
37%
80-81°F
$0 交易量
38%
82-83°F
$0 交易量
50%
84-85°F
$0 交易量
15%
86-87°F
$36 交易量
15%
88-89°F
$27 交易量
1%
华氏90度或更高
$27 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus around 71°F or below (40.5%) and the 78–81°F cluster reflects forecast uncertainty in overnight radiational cooling for Miami on July 17. Typical July minimums hover near 78–81°F under high humidity and subtropical maritime air, but scattered thunderstorms or variable cloud cover can either suppress cooling by trapping longwave radiation or enhance it during clearer intervals after daytime heating. Recent model runs show slight disagreements on convective timing and sea-breeze strength, which directly modulate minimum temperatures; stronger onshore flow or lingering moisture tends to keep lows elevated near 80°F while drier, clearer conditions favor the lower bins. Upcoming NHC and local WFO updates will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jul 15, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
交易量
$132结束日期
2026-07-17市场开放时间
Jul 15, 2026, 9:30 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus around 71°F or below (40.5%) and the 78–81°F cluster reflects forecast uncertainty in overnight radiational cooling for Miami on July 17. Typical July minimums hover near 78–81°F under high humidity and subtropical maritime air, but scattered thunderstorms or variable cloud cover can either suppress cooling by trapping longwave radiation or enhance it during clearer intervals after daytime heating. Recent model runs show slight disagreements on convective timing and sea-breeze strength, which directly modulate minimum temperatures; stronger onshore flow or lingering moisture tends to keep lows elevated near 80°F while drier, clearer conditions favor the lower bins. Upcoming NHC and local WFO updates will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$132结束日期
2026-07-17市场开放时间
Jul 15, 2026, 9:30 PM ETTrader consensus around 71°F or below (40.5%) and the 78–81°F cluster reflects forecast uncertainty in overnight radiational cooling for Miami on July 17. Typical July minimums hover near 78–81°F under high humidity and subtropical maritime air, but scattered thunderstorms or variable cloud cover can either suppress cooling by trapping longwave radiation or enhance it during clearer intervals after daytime heating. Recent model runs show slight disagreements on convective timing and sea-breeze strength, which directly modulate minimum temperatures; stronger onshore flow or lingering moisture tends to keep lows elevated near 80°F while drier, clearer conditions favor the lower bins. Upcoming NHC and local WFO updates will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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