Trader consensus clusters tightly around 80–83°F for Miami’s July 20 low, reflecting the subtropical marine influence that typically caps overnight cooling near 78–82°F in mid-July. High humidity and frequent cloud cover suppress radiative heat loss, while Atlantic sea-surface temperatures near 86°F maintain a warm boundary layer. Recent model runs show no strong cold front or unusual subsidence that would allow deeper drops, keeping sub-76°F outcomes below 35% implied probability. Forecasters from NOAA and local NWS offices highlight steady easterly flow and typical diurnal ranges of 8–12°F, with any variance hinging on tonight’s cloud timing and wind speed. Updated guidance tomorrow morning will refine the exact minimum before market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于7月20日迈阿密最低气温？
7月20日迈阿密最低气温？
82-83°F 34%
80-81°F 27%
78-79华氏度 22%
84-85°F 8%
最新
最新
2026-07-20
71°F或以下
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
6%
78-79华氏度
22%
80-81°F
27%
82-83°F
34%
84-85°F
8%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F或更高
1%
82-83°F 34%
80-81°F 27%
78-79华氏度 22%
84-85°F 8%
最新
最新
2026-07-20
71°F或以下
$198 交易量
<1%
72-73°F
$158 交易量
<1%
74-75°F
$314 交易量
2%
76-77°F
$133 交易量
6%
78-79华氏度
$97 交易量
22%
80-81°F
$1,187 交易量
27%
82-83°F
$132 交易量
34%
84-85°F
$35 交易量
8%
86-87°F
$180 交易量
1%
88-89°F
$263 交易量
<1%
90°F或更高
$2,208 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus clusters tightly around 80–83°F for Miami’s July 20 low, reflecting the subtropical marine influence that typically caps overnight cooling near 78–82°F in mid-July. High humidity and frequent cloud cover suppress radiative heat loss, while Atlantic sea-surface temperatures near 86°F maintain a warm boundary layer. Recent model runs show no strong cold front or unusual subsidence that would allow deeper drops, keeping sub-76°F outcomes below 35% implied probability. Forecasters from NOAA and local NWS offices highlight steady easterly flow and typical diurnal ranges of 8–12°F, with any variance hinging on tonight’s cloud timing and wind speed. Updated guidance tomorrow morning will refine the exact minimum before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jul 18, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
交易量
$4,891结束日期
2026-07-20市场开放时间
Jul 18, 2026, 9:30 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus clusters tightly around 80–83°F for Miami’s July 20 low, reflecting the subtropical marine influence that typically caps overnight cooling near 78–82°F in mid-July. High humidity and frequent cloud cover suppress radiative heat loss, while Atlantic sea-surface temperatures near 86°F maintain a warm boundary layer. Recent model runs show no strong cold front or unusual subsidence that would allow deeper drops, keeping sub-76°F outcomes below 35% implied probability. Forecasters from NOAA and local NWS offices highlight steady easterly flow and typical diurnal ranges of 8–12°F, with any variance hinging on tonight’s cloud timing and wind speed. Updated guidance tomorrow morning will refine the exact minimum before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$4,891结束日期
2026-07-20市场开放时间
Jul 18, 2026, 9:30 PM ETTrader consensus clusters tightly around 80–83°F for Miami’s July 20 low, reflecting the subtropical marine influence that typically caps overnight cooling near 78–82°F in mid-July. High humidity and frequent cloud cover suppress radiative heat loss, while Atlantic sea-surface temperatures near 86°F maintain a warm boundary layer. Recent model runs show no strong cold front or unusual subsidence that would allow deeper drops, keeping sub-76°F outcomes below 35% implied probability. Forecasters from NOAA and local NWS offices highlight steady easterly flow and typical diurnal ranges of 8–12°F, with any variance hinging on tonight’s cloud timing and wind speed. Updated guidance tomorrow morning will refine the exact minimum before market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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