Latest National Weather Service guidance for Miami International Airport forecasts an overnight low near 74°F on May 14, aligning with GFS and ECMWF ensemble consensus and positioning the 74-75°F outcome at 41.5% implied probability among traders wagering real capital. This trader sentiment reflects radiational cooling under light southwest winds of 5 mph, partial clearing after evening thunderstorms, and moderation from surrounding Atlantic sea surface temperatures around 78°F, typical for mid-May climatology with historical averages near 75°F. Yesterday's observed low of 73°F amid drier high pressure sets a recent baseline, while lingering cloud cover introduces uncertainty that could shift odds toward 76-77°F (23.5%). New model runs and NWS updates expected this afternoon may further refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于5月14日迈阿密最低气温？
5月14日迈阿密最低气温？
74-75°F 41%
76-77°F 32%
72-73°F 14%
78-79°F 8.2%
最新
最新
2026-05-14
67华氏度或以下
<1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
14%
74-75°F
41%
76-77°F
32%
78-79°F
8%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
1%
86°F或更高
1%
74-75°F 41%
76-77°F 32%
72-73°F 14%
78-79°F 8.2%
最新
最新
2026-05-14
67华氏度或以下
$164 交易量
<1%
68-69°F
$534 交易量
1%
70-71°F
$52 交易量
1%
72-73°F
$127 交易量
14%
74-75°F
$146 交易量
41%
76-77°F
$158 交易量
32%
78-79°F
$99 交易量
8%
80-81°F
$119 交易量
1%
82-83°F
$147 交易量
1%
84-85°F
$277 交易量
1%
86°F或更高
$521 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest National Weather Service guidance for Miami International Airport forecasts an overnight low near 74°F on May 14, aligning with GFS and ECMWF ensemble consensus and positioning the 74-75°F outcome at 41.5% implied probability among traders wagering real capital. This trader sentiment reflects radiational cooling under light southwest winds of 5 mph, partial clearing after evening thunderstorms, and moderation from surrounding Atlantic sea surface temperatures around 78°F, typical for mid-May climatology with historical averages near 75°F. Yesterday's observed low of 73°F amid drier high pressure sets a recent baseline, while lingering cloud cover introduces uncertainty that could shift odds toward 76-77°F (23.5%). New model runs and NWS updates expected this afternoon may further refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 11, 2026, 6:18 PM ET
交易量
$2,342结束日期
2026-05-14市场开放时间
May 11, 2026, 6:18 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest National Weather Service guidance for Miami International Airport forecasts an overnight low near 74°F on May 14, aligning with GFS and ECMWF ensemble consensus and positioning the 74-75°F outcome at 41.5% implied probability among traders wagering real capital. This trader sentiment reflects radiational cooling under light southwest winds of 5 mph, partial clearing after evening thunderstorms, and moderation from surrounding Atlantic sea surface temperatures around 78°F, typical for mid-May climatology with historical averages near 75°F. Yesterday's observed low of 73°F amid drier high pressure sets a recent baseline, while lingering cloud cover introduces uncertainty that could shift odds toward 76-77°F (23.5%). New model runs and NWS updates expected this afternoon may further refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$2,342结束日期
2026-05-14市场开放时间
May 11, 2026, 6:18 PM ETLatest National Weather Service guidance for Miami International Airport forecasts an overnight low near 74°F on May 14, aligning with GFS and ECMWF ensemble consensus and positioning the 74-75°F outcome at 41.5% implied probability among traders wagering real capital. This trader sentiment reflects radiational cooling under light southwest winds of 5 mph, partial clearing after evening thunderstorms, and moderation from surrounding Atlantic sea surface temperatures around 78°F, typical for mid-May climatology with historical averages near 75°F. Yesterday's observed low of 73°F amid drier high pressure sets a recent baseline, while lingering cloud cover introduces uncertainty that could shift odds toward 76-77°F (23.5%). New model runs and NWS updates expected this afternoon may further refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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