Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 76-77°F at 100% implied probability for Miami's lowest temperature on May 13, 2026, confirmed by official National Weather Service observations at Miami International Airport (KMIA), which recorded a minimum of 77°F around 11:32 PM. This aligns with persistent southerly winds, high dew points near 72°F, and partly cloudy skies trapping heat in South Florida's urban environment, keeping overnight lows above the May climatological normal of 73°F. Model forecasts from NOAA's GFS and ECMWF ensembles had converged on this range 24-48 hours prior, reflecting stable subtropical conditions without cold air intrusions. Realistic challenges are minimal post-resolution, limited to rare NWS quality-control revisions for sensor anomalies, with final data typically unadjusted.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于5月13日迈阿密最低气温？
5月13日迈阿密最低气温？
76-77°F 100.0%
71°F或以下 <1%
72-73°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
$15,756 交易量
$15,756 交易量
2026-05-13
71°F或以下
否
72-73°F
否
74-75°F
否
76-77°F
是
78-79°F
否
80-81°F
否
82-83°F
否
84-85°F
否
86-87华氏度
否
88-89°F
否
90°F或更高
否
76-77°F 100.0%
71°F或以下 <1%
72-73°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
$15,756 交易量
$15,756 交易量
2026-05-13
71°F或以下
$3,282 交易量
否
72-73°F
$1,322 交易量
否
74-75°F
$2,861 交易量
否
76-77°F
$2,633 交易量
是
78-79°F
$485 交易量
否
80-81°F
$756 交易量
否
82-83°F
$544 交易量
否
84-85°F
$683 交易量
否
86-87华氏度
$1,064 交易量
否
88-89°F
$1,207 交易量
否
90°F或更高
$918 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 76-77°F at 100% implied probability for Miami's lowest temperature on May 13, 2026, confirmed by official National Weather Service observations at Miami International Airport (KMIA), which recorded a minimum of 77°F around 11:32 PM. This aligns with persistent southerly winds, high dew points near 72°F, and partly cloudy skies trapping heat in South Florida's urban environment, keeping overnight lows above the May climatological normal of 73°F. Model forecasts from NOAA's GFS and ECMWF ensembles had converged on this range 24-48 hours prior, reflecting stable subtropical conditions without cold air intrusions. Realistic challenges are minimal post-resolution, limited to rare NWS quality-control revisions for sensor anomalies, with final data typically unadjusted.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 11, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
交易量
$15,756结束日期
2026-05-13市场开放时间
May 11, 2026, 12:02 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 76-77°F at 100% implied probability for Miami's lowest temperature on May 13, 2026, confirmed by official National Weather Service observations at Miami International Airport (KMIA), which recorded a minimum of 77°F around 11:32 PM. This aligns with persistent southerly winds, high dew points near 72°F, and partly cloudy skies trapping heat in South Florida's urban environment, keeping overnight lows above the May climatological normal of 73°F. Model forecasts from NOAA's GFS and ECMWF ensembles had converged on this range 24-48 hours prior, reflecting stable subtropical conditions without cold air intrusions. Realistic challenges are minimal post-resolution, limited to rare NWS quality-control revisions for sensor anomalies, with final data typically unadjusted.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$15,756结束日期
2026-05-13市场开放时间
May 11, 2026, 12:02 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 76-77°F at 100% implied probability for Miami's lowest temperature on May 13, 2026, confirmed by official National Weather Service observations at Miami International Airport (KMIA), which recorded a minimum of 77°F around 11:32 PM. This aligns with persistent southerly winds, high dew points near 72°F, and partly cloudy skies trapping heat in South Florida's urban environment, keeping overnight lows above the May climatological normal of 73°F. Model forecasts from NOAA's GFS and ECMWF ensembles had converged on this range 24-48 hours prior, reflecting stable subtropical conditions without cold air intrusions. Realistic challenges are minimal post-resolution, limited to rare NWS quality-control revisions for sensor anomalies, with final data typically unadjusted.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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