Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 50% implied probability for Miami's lowest temperature on May 19 reaching 73°F or below, driven by National Weather Service guidance and GFS/ECMWF ensemble consensus forecasting a nighttime low near 73°F amid light southeast winds conducive to radiational cooling. This positioning stems from drier continental air lingering after a frontal passage on May 6-7 that disrupted the typical humid late-spring airmass, where historical May 19 lows at Miami International Airport average 75-77°F on the Saffir-Simpson climatological baseline. Clear skies anticipated overnight will limit cloud-forced warming, though model spread introduces uncertainty—ECMWF slightly cooler than GFS. Watch for 00z model updates tonight and NWS Miami briefings through May 17, as proximity to resolution heightens sensitivity to refinements.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于5月19日迈阿密最低气温？
5月19日迈阿密最低气温？
73°F或以下 41%
78-79°F 27%
82-83°F 20%
80-81°F 19%
最新
最新
2026-05-19
73°F或以下
41%
74-75°F
13%
76-77°F
19%
78-79°F
27%
80-81°F
19%
82-83°F
20%
84-85°F
18%
86-87°F
7%
88-89°F
2%
90-91°F
1%
92°F或更高
<1%
73°F或以下 41%
78-79°F 27%
82-83°F 20%
80-81°F 19%
最新
最新
2026-05-19
73°F或以下
$0 交易量
41%
74-75°F
$0 交易量
13%
76-77°F
$0 交易量
19%
78-79°F
$0 交易量
27%
80-81°F
$0 交易量
19%
82-83°F
$0 交易量
20%
84-85°F
$0 交易量
18%
86-87°F
$20 交易量
7%
88-89°F
$296 交易量
2%
90-91°F
$271 交易量
1%
92°F或更高
$0 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 50% implied probability for Miami's lowest temperature on May 19 reaching 73°F or below, driven by National Weather Service guidance and GFS/ECMWF ensemble consensus forecasting a nighttime low near 73°F amid light southeast winds conducive to radiational cooling. This positioning stems from drier continental air lingering after a frontal passage on May 6-7 that disrupted the typical humid late-spring airmass, where historical May 19 lows at Miami International Airport average 75-77°F on the Saffir-Simpson climatological baseline. Clear skies anticipated overnight will limit cloud-forced warming, though model spread introduces uncertainty—ECMWF slightly cooler than GFS. Watch for 00z model updates tonight and NWS Miami briefings through May 17, as proximity to resolution heightens sensitivity to refinements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$587结束日期
2026-05-19市场开放时间
May 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 50% implied probability for Miami's lowest temperature on May 19 reaching 73°F or below, driven by National Weather Service guidance and GFS/ECMWF ensemble consensus forecasting a nighttime low near 73°F amid light southeast winds conducive to radiational cooling. This positioning stems from drier continental air lingering after a frontal passage on May 6-7 that disrupted the typical humid late-spring airmass, where historical May 19 lows at Miami International Airport average 75-77°F on the Saffir-Simpson climatological baseline. Clear skies anticipated overnight will limit cloud-forced warming, though model spread introduces uncertainty—ECMWF slightly cooler than GFS. Watch for 00z model updates tonight and NWS Miami briefings through May 17, as proximity to resolution heightens sensitivity to refinements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$587结束日期
2026-05-19市场开放时间
May 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket prices a 50% implied probability for Miami's lowest temperature on May 19 reaching 73°F or below, driven by National Weather Service guidance and GFS/ECMWF ensemble consensus forecasting a nighttime low near 73°F amid light southeast winds conducive to radiational cooling. This positioning stems from drier continental air lingering after a frontal passage on May 6-7 that disrupted the typical humid late-spring airmass, where historical May 19 lows at Miami International Airport average 75-77°F on the Saffir-Simpson climatological baseline. Clear skies anticipated overnight will limit cloud-forced warming, though model spread introduces uncertainty—ECMWF slightly cooler than GFS. Watch for 00z model updates tonight and NWS Miami briefings through May 17, as proximity to resolution heightens sensitivity to refinements.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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