National Weather Service forecast models currently project a daytime high near 90°F for Austin on May 17 under mostly cloudy skies and light southerly flow, driving the market-implied probability of 88°F or higher to 49.5% and 86-87°F to 29.5%. This consensus stems from southerly advection of warmer Gulf moisture combined with limited daytime heating from cloud cover, consistent with climatological May norms where Austin averages an 86°F high. Recent model runs show minor spread around 86-92°F depending on exact cloud timing, with no major shifts expected before resolution. Traders monitor afternoon updates from the National Weather Service for any adjustments in wind patterns or moisture that could alter peak temperatures by a degree or two.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于5月17日奥斯汀的最高温度？
5月17日奥斯汀的最高温度？
88°F or higher 50%
86-87°F 27%
84-85°F 9.2%
82-83°F 1.5%
最新
$15,064 交易量
最新
$15,064 交易量
2026-05-17
69°F or below
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
9%
86-87°F
27%
88°F or higher
50%
88°F or higher 50%
86-87°F 27%
84-85°F 9.2%
82-83°F 1.5%
最新
$15,064 交易量
最新
$15,064 交易量
2026-05-17
69°F or below
$1,206 交易量
<1%
70-71°F
$3,464 交易量
<1%
72-73°F
$4,894 交易量
<1%
74-75°F
$536 交易量
<1%
76-77°F
$537 交易量
<1%
78-79°F
$385 交易量
<1%
80-81°F
$660 交易量
1%
82-83°F
$759 交易量
2%
84-85°F
$398 交易量
9%
86-87°F
$556 交易量
27%
88°F or higher
$1,670 交易量
50%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecast models currently project a daytime high near 90°F for Austin on May 17 under mostly cloudy skies and light southerly flow, driving the market-implied probability of 88°F or higher to 49.5% and 86-87°F to 29.5%. This consensus stems from southerly advection of warmer Gulf moisture combined with limited daytime heating from cloud cover, consistent with climatological May norms where Austin averages an 86°F high. Recent model runs show minor spread around 86-92°F depending on exact cloud timing, with no major shifts expected before resolution. Traders monitor afternoon updates from the National Weather Service for any adjustments in wind patterns or moisture that could alter peak temperatures by a degree or two.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
交易量
$15,064结束日期
2026-05-17市场开放时间
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecast models currently project a daytime high near 90°F for Austin on May 17 under mostly cloudy skies and light southerly flow, driving the market-implied probability of 88°F or higher to 49.5% and 86-87°F to 29.5%. This consensus stems from southerly advection of warmer Gulf moisture combined with limited daytime heating from cloud cover, consistent with climatological May norms where Austin averages an 86°F high. Recent model runs show minor spread around 86-92°F depending on exact cloud timing, with no major shifts expected before resolution. Traders monitor afternoon updates from the National Weather Service for any adjustments in wind patterns or moisture that could alter peak temperatures by a degree or two.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$15,064结束日期
2026-05-17市场开放时间
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETNational Weather Service forecast models currently project a daytime high near 90°F for Austin on May 17 under mostly cloudy skies and light southerly flow, driving the market-implied probability of 88°F or higher to 49.5% and 86-87°F to 29.5%. This consensus stems from southerly advection of warmer Gulf moisture combined with limited daytime heating from cloud cover, consistent with climatological May norms where Austin averages an 86°F high. Recent model runs show minor spread around 86-92°F depending on exact cloud timing, with no major shifts expected before resolution. Traders monitor afternoon updates from the National Weather Service for any adjustments in wind patterns or moisture that could alter peak temperatures by a degree or two.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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