Latest National Weather Service model consensus for May 18 points to a strengthening high-pressure ridge over southeast Texas, promoting subsidence, reduced cloud cover, and strong diurnal heating that favors afternoon highs reaching 86–89 °F. This setup aligns with the market’s leading 51.5 % implied probability for 88 °F or higher, while historical May 18 normals at Houston’s Intercontinental Airport sit at 88 °F. Minor forecast spread remains due to possible early-afternoon sea-breeze convection or slight variations in boundary-layer moisture, keeping the 86–87 °F bin at 35.5 %. Updated NWS short-range guidance and 12Z model runs on May 17 will provide the final data before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于5月18日休斯顿的最高温度？
5月18日休斯顿的最高温度？
88°F or higher 42%
86-87°F 35%
84-85°F 12%
82-83°F 6%
最新
最新
2026-05-18
69°F or below
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
3%
82-83°F
6%
84-85°F
12%
86-87°F
35%
88°F or higher
52%
88°F or higher 42%
86-87°F 35%
84-85°F 12%
82-83°F 6%
最新
最新
2026-05-18
69°F or below
$5 交易量
<1%
70-71°F
$346 交易量
<1%
72-73°F
$507 交易量
<1%
74-75°F
$517 交易量
<1%
76-77°F
$522 交易量
<1%
78-79°F
$15 交易量
<1%
80-81°F
$15 交易量
3%
82-83°F
$4 交易量
6%
84-85°F
$16 交易量
12%
86-87°F
$46 交易量
35%
88°F or higher
$34 交易量
52%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest National Weather Service model consensus for May 18 points to a strengthening high-pressure ridge over southeast Texas, promoting subsidence, reduced cloud cover, and strong diurnal heating that favors afternoon highs reaching 86–89 °F. This setup aligns with the market’s leading 51.5 % implied probability for 88 °F or higher, while historical May 18 normals at Houston’s Intercontinental Airport sit at 88 °F. Minor forecast spread remains due to possible early-afternoon sea-breeze convection or slight variations in boundary-layer moisture, keeping the 86–87 °F bin at 35.5 %. Updated NWS short-range guidance and 12Z model runs on May 17 will provide the final data before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
交易量
$2,027结束日期
2026-05-18市场开放时间
May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest National Weather Service model consensus for May 18 points to a strengthening high-pressure ridge over southeast Texas, promoting subsidence, reduced cloud cover, and strong diurnal heating that favors afternoon highs reaching 86–89 °F. This setup aligns with the market’s leading 51.5 % implied probability for 88 °F or higher, while historical May 18 normals at Houston’s Intercontinental Airport sit at 88 °F. Minor forecast spread remains due to possible early-afternoon sea-breeze convection or slight variations in boundary-layer moisture, keeping the 86–87 °F bin at 35.5 %. Updated NWS short-range guidance and 12Z model runs on May 17 will provide the final data before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$2,027结束日期
2026-05-18市场开放时间
May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETLatest National Weather Service model consensus for May 18 points to a strengthening high-pressure ridge over southeast Texas, promoting subsidence, reduced cloud cover, and strong diurnal heating that favors afternoon highs reaching 86–89 °F. This setup aligns with the market’s leading 51.5 % implied probability for 88 °F or higher, while historical May 18 normals at Houston’s Intercontinental Airport sit at 88 °F. Minor forecast spread remains due to possible early-afternoon sea-breeze convection or slight variations in boundary-layer moisture, keeping the 86–87 °F bin at 35.5 %. Updated NWS short-range guidance and 12Z model runs on May 17 will provide the final data before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题