Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a highest temperature of 30°C at 36% implied probability for May 16 in Singapore, reflecting persistent afternoon thundery showers under inter-monsoon conditions that cap daily maximums despite the Meteorological Service Singapore's (MSS) 4-day forecast of 34°C. Recent observations show variability, with 34.7°C at Pulau Ubin on May 14 but only around 30-31°C projected for May 15 amid heavy cloud cover and 84 mm rainfall at some sites. Frequent convection and above-average rainfall in early May 2026, per MSS fortnightly outlook, suppress solar heating, aligning odds toward 29-31°C over hotter outcomes; updated MSS forecasts twice daily could shift sentiment ahead of resolution based on official station records.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Singapore on May 16?
Highest temperature in Singapore on May 16?
30°C 36%
29°C 22.5%
31°C 21%
32°C or higher 14%
最新
$32,239 交易量
最新
$32,239 交易量
2026-05-16
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
4%
29°C
23%
30°C
36%
31°C
21%
32°C or higher
14%
30°C 36%
29°C 22.5%
31°C 21%
32°C or higher 14%
最新
$32,239 交易量
最新
$32,239 交易量
2026-05-16
22°C or below
$8,466 交易量
<1%
23°C
$3,375 交易量
<1%
24°C
$5,019 交易量
<1%
25°C
$1,707 交易量
<1%
26°C
$1,308 交易量
1%
27°C
$2,226 交易量
1%
28°C
$2,066 交易量
4%
29°C
$2,284 交易量
23%
30°C
$1,023 交易量
36%
31°C
$1,766 交易量
21%
32°C or higher
$3,027 交易量
14%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a highest temperature of 30°C at 36% implied probability for May 16 in Singapore, reflecting persistent afternoon thundery showers under inter-monsoon conditions that cap daily maximums despite the Meteorological Service Singapore's (MSS) 4-day forecast of 34°C. Recent observations show variability, with 34.7°C at Pulau Ubin on May 14 but only around 30-31°C projected for May 15 amid heavy cloud cover and 84 mm rainfall at some sites. Frequent convection and above-average rainfall in early May 2026, per MSS fortnightly outlook, suppress solar heating, aligning odds toward 29-31°C over hotter outcomes; updated MSS forecasts twice daily could shift sentiment ahead of resolution based on official station records.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 14, 2026, 12:15 AM ET
交易量
$32,239结束日期
2026-05-16市场开放时间
May 14, 2026, 12:15 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a highest temperature of 30°C at 36% implied probability for May 16 in Singapore, reflecting persistent afternoon thundery showers under inter-monsoon conditions that cap daily maximums despite the Meteorological Service Singapore's (MSS) 4-day forecast of 34°C. Recent observations show variability, with 34.7°C at Pulau Ubin on May 14 but only around 30-31°C projected for May 15 amid heavy cloud cover and 84 mm rainfall at some sites. Frequent convection and above-average rainfall in early May 2026, per MSS fortnightly outlook, suppress solar heating, aligning odds toward 29-31°C over hotter outcomes; updated MSS forecasts twice daily could shift sentiment ahead of resolution based on official station records.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$32,239结束日期
2026-05-16市场开放时间
May 14, 2026, 12:15 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket favors a highest temperature of 30°C at 36% implied probability for May 16 in Singapore, reflecting persistent afternoon thundery showers under inter-monsoon conditions that cap daily maximums despite the Meteorological Service Singapore's (MSS) 4-day forecast of 34°C. Recent observations show variability, with 34.7°C at Pulau Ubin on May 14 but only around 30-31°C projected for May 15 amid heavy cloud cover and 84 mm rainfall at some sites. Frequent convection and above-average rainfall in early May 2026, per MSS fortnightly outlook, suppress solar heating, aligning odds toward 29-31°C over hotter outcomes; updated MSS forecasts twice daily could shift sentiment ahead of resolution based on official station records.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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