Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in short-range forecast ensembles for Paris's overnight low on May 19, with implied probabilities nearly split between 15°C or higher (50%) and the 6–14°C range (45.5% each), against climatological May 19 norms of around 10°C. Recent cool, unstable weather through May 11–17, featuring morning lows of 7–8°C and showers per Météo-France guidance, has tempered expectations, but ECMWF and GFS models now diverge on a possible high-pressure ridge bringing clearer skies and southerly flow for late-week warming. Key differentiators include cloud cover persistence versus radiative cooling under high pressure; daily model updates through May 18 will clarify the balance before resolution based on official Paris observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于5月19日巴黎最低气温？
5月19日巴黎最低气温？
10°C 55%
11°C 44%
8°C 41%
9°C 41%
最新
最新
2026-05-19
5°C或以下
1%
6°C
9%
7°C
40%
8°C
41%
9°C
41%
10°C
55%
11°C
44%
12°C
40%
13°C
40%
14°C
40%
15°C或更高
40%
10°C 55%
11°C 44%
8°C 41%
9°C 41%
最新
最新
2026-05-19
5°C或以下
$10 交易量
1%
6°C
$10 交易量
9%
7°C
$0 交易量
40%
8°C
$0 交易量
41%
9°C
$0 交易量
41%
10°C
$0 交易量
55%
11°C
$0 交易量
44%
12°C
$0 交易量
40%
13°C
$0 交易量
40%
14°C
$0 交易量
40%
15°C或更高
$26 交易量
40%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in short-range forecast ensembles for Paris's overnight low on May 19, with implied probabilities nearly split between 15°C or higher (50%) and the 6–14°C range (45.5% each), against climatological May 19 norms of around 10°C. Recent cool, unstable weather through May 11–17, featuring morning lows of 7–8°C and showers per Météo-France guidance, has tempered expectations, but ECMWF and GFS models now diverge on a possible high-pressure ridge bringing clearer skies and southerly flow for late-week warming. Key differentiators include cloud cover persistence versus radiative cooling under high pressure; daily model updates through May 18 will clarify the balance before resolution based on official Paris observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$46结束日期
2026-05-19市场开放时间
May 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in short-range forecast ensembles for Paris's overnight low on May 19, with implied probabilities nearly split between 15°C or higher (50%) and the 6–14°C range (45.5% each), against climatological May 19 norms of around 10°C. Recent cool, unstable weather through May 11–17, featuring morning lows of 7–8°C and showers per Météo-France guidance, has tempered expectations, but ECMWF and GFS models now diverge on a possible high-pressure ridge bringing clearer skies and southerly flow for late-week warming. Key differentiators include cloud cover persistence versus radiative cooling under high pressure; daily model updates through May 18 will clarify the balance before resolution based on official Paris observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$46结束日期
2026-05-19市场开放时间
May 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in short-range forecast ensembles for Paris's overnight low on May 19, with implied probabilities nearly split between 15°C or higher (50%) and the 6–14°C range (45.5% each), against climatological May 19 norms of around 10°C. Recent cool, unstable weather through May 11–17, featuring morning lows of 7–8°C and showers per Météo-France guidance, has tempered expectations, but ECMWF and GFS models now diverge on a possible high-pressure ridge bringing clearer skies and southerly flow for late-week warming. Key differentiators include cloud cover persistence versus radiative cooling under high pressure; daily model updates through May 18 will clarify the balance before resolution based on official Paris observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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