Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS reveal substantial uncertainty for Paris’s overnight low on May 17, with model spreads of 5–12°C driven by variable cloud cover and light winds that either suppress or enhance radiative cooling at Le Bourget Airport. Météo-France guidance highlights an unstable frontal pattern persisting through mid-May, featuring scattered showers and daytime highs near 19°C that limit surface warming and keep minimum temperatures near the historical May average of 9–10°C. Current trader consensus, reflected in the 44.5% implied probability for 10°C and 19% for 9°C, favors modest cloud trapping over clear-sky cooling, though 00Z and 12Z model updates tonight could shift probabilities if skies clear.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于5月17日巴黎最低气温？
5月17日巴黎最低气温？
10°C 45%
11°C 27%
9°C 19%
12°C或更高 11%
最新
最新
2026-05-17
2°C或以下
<1%
3°C
<1%
4°C
1%
5°C
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
4%
9°C
19%
10°C
39%
11°C
27%
12°C或更高
11%
10°C 45%
11°C 27%
9°C 19%
12°C或更高 11%
最新
最新
2026-05-17
2°C或以下
$66 交易量
<1%
3°C
$65 交易量
<1%
4°C
$217 交易量
1%
5°C
$340 交易量
<1%
6°C
$347 交易量
<1%
7°C
$167 交易量
<1%
8°C
$87 交易量
4%
9°C
$122 交易量
19%
10°C
$66 交易量
39%
11°C
$74 交易量
27%
12°C或更高
$144 交易量
11%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS reveal substantial uncertainty for Paris’s overnight low on May 17, with model spreads of 5–12°C driven by variable cloud cover and light winds that either suppress or enhance radiative cooling at Le Bourget Airport. Météo-France guidance highlights an unstable frontal pattern persisting through mid-May, featuring scattered showers and daytime highs near 19°C that limit surface warming and keep minimum temperatures near the historical May average of 9–10°C. Current trader consensus, reflected in the 44.5% implied probability for 10°C and 19% for 9°C, favors modest cloud trapping over clear-sky cooling, though 00Z and 12Z model updates tonight could shift probabilities if skies clear.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ET
交易量
$1,693结束日期
2026-05-17市场开放时间
May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS reveal substantial uncertainty for Paris’s overnight low on May 17, with model spreads of 5–12°C driven by variable cloud cover and light winds that either suppress or enhance radiative cooling at Le Bourget Airport. Météo-France guidance highlights an unstable frontal pattern persisting through mid-May, featuring scattered showers and daytime highs near 19°C that limit surface warming and keep minimum temperatures near the historical May average of 9–10°C. Current trader consensus, reflected in the 44.5% implied probability for 10°C and 19% for 9°C, favors modest cloud trapping over clear-sky cooling, though 00Z and 12Z model updates tonight could shift probabilities if skies clear.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$1,693结束日期
2026-05-17市场开放时间
May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ETRecent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS reveal substantial uncertainty for Paris’s overnight low on May 17, with model spreads of 5–12°C driven by variable cloud cover and light winds that either suppress or enhance radiative cooling at Le Bourget Airport. Météo-France guidance highlights an unstable frontal pattern persisting through mid-May, featuring scattered showers and daytime highs near 19°C that limit surface warming and keep minimum temperatures near the historical May average of 9–10°C. Current trader consensus, reflected in the 44.5% implied probability for 10°C and 19% for 9°C, favors modest cloud trapping over clear-sky cooling, though 00Z and 12Z model updates tonight could shift probabilities if skies clear.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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