Latest short-range forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and NOAA’s Global Forecast System point to an overnight low near 15–17°C for Shanghai on May 20, with the 15°C-or-below bin leading at 36.5% implied probability. Persistent cloud cover and light southerly flow are expected to limit radiative cooling at the resolution station, Shanghai Pudong International Airport, keeping temperatures above the 14°C climatological floor for mid-May. Model spread remains notable: stronger onshore winds could push readings to 22°C or higher (combined 27%), while clearer skies would favor the cooler tail. Upcoming 00Z and 12Z model runs over the next 48 hours will refine the exact minimum and likely tighten the spread among adjacent bins.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于5月20日上海最低气温？
5月20日上海最低气温？
15°C或以下 37%
22°C 25%
20°C 20%
23°C 19%
最新
最新
2026-05-20
15°C或以下
37%
16°C
5%
17°C
5%
18°C
6%
19°C
8%
20°C
20%
21°C
18%
22°C
25%
23°C
19%
24°C
8%
25°C或更高
19%
15°C或以下 37%
22°C 25%
20°C 20%
23°C 19%
最新
最新
2026-05-20
15°C或以下
$23 交易量
37%
16°C
$50 交易量
5%
17°C
$20 交易量
5%
18°C
$0 交易量
6%
19°C
$0 交易量
8%
20°C
$0 交易量
20%
21°C
$0 交易量
18%
22°C
$0 交易量
25%
23°C
$0 交易量
19%
24°C
$0 交易量
8%
25°C或更高
$53 交易量
19%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest short-range forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and NOAA’s Global Forecast System point to an overnight low near 15–17°C for Shanghai on May 20, with the 15°C-or-below bin leading at 36.5% implied probability. Persistent cloud cover and light southerly flow are expected to limit radiative cooling at the resolution station, Shanghai Pudong International Airport, keeping temperatures above the 14°C climatological floor for mid-May. Model spread remains notable: stronger onshore winds could push readings to 22°C or higher (combined 27%), while clearer skies would favor the cooler tail. Upcoming 00Z and 12Z model runs over the next 48 hours will refine the exact minimum and likely tighten the spread among adjacent bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$146结束日期
2026-05-20市场开放时间
May 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest short-range forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and NOAA’s Global Forecast System point to an overnight low near 15–17°C for Shanghai on May 20, with the 15°C-or-below bin leading at 36.5% implied probability. Persistent cloud cover and light southerly flow are expected to limit radiative cooling at the resolution station, Shanghai Pudong International Airport, keeping temperatures above the 14°C climatological floor for mid-May. Model spread remains notable: stronger onshore winds could push readings to 22°C or higher (combined 27%), while clearer skies would favor the cooler tail. Upcoming 00Z and 12Z model runs over the next 48 hours will refine the exact minimum and likely tighten the spread among adjacent bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$146结束日期
2026-05-20市场开放时间
May 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ETLatest short-range forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and NOAA’s Global Forecast System point to an overnight low near 15–17°C for Shanghai on May 20, with the 15°C-or-below bin leading at 36.5% implied probability. Persistent cloud cover and light southerly flow are expected to limit radiative cooling at the resolution station, Shanghai Pudong International Airport, keeping temperatures above the 14°C climatological floor for mid-May. Model spread remains notable: stronger onshore winds could push readings to 22°C or higher (combined 27%), while clearer skies would favor the cooler tail. Upcoming 00Z and 12Z model runs over the next 48 hours will refine the exact minimum and likely tighten the spread among adjacent bins.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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