Latest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models like GFS indicate a high near 24–25°C at Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport on May 16, with light rain and cloudy skies likely capping peak temperatures amid a passing frontal system. Trader consensus prices a 58% implied probability for 25°C or higher, driven by partial afternoon clearing potential and the city's basin topography, which enhances daytime heating even under overcast conditions—recent days saw highs of 24–32°C before rain arrived on May 15. Lower outcomes like 24°C (23.5%) and 23°C (13%) reflect model spread and 80–100% precipitation chances suppressing full solar insolation. Final airport observations tomorrow will resolve amid typical May volatility, with averages around 27°C.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Chongqing on May 16?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on May 16?
25°C or higher 54%
24°C 19%
23°C 14%
22°C 8%
$13,252 交易量
$13,252 交易量
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
8%
23°C
14%
24°C
19%
25°C or higher
54%
25°C or higher 54%
24°C 19%
23°C 14%
22°C 8%
$13,252 交易量
$13,252 交易量
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
8%
23°C
14%
24°C
19%
25°C or higher
54%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: May 14, 2026, 12:26 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Latest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models like GFS indicate a high near 24–25°C at Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport on May 16, with light rain and cloudy skies likely capping peak temperatures amid a passing frontal system. Trader consensus prices a 58% implied probability for 25°C or higher, driven by partial afternoon clearing potential and the city's basin topography, which enhances daytime heating even under overcast conditions—recent days saw highs of 24–32°C before rain arrived on May 15. Lower outcomes like 24°C (23.5%) and 23°C (13%) reflect model spread and 80–100% precipitation chances suppressing full solar insolation. Final airport observations tomorrow will resolve amid typical May volatility, with averages around 27°C.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题