Official observations from the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport station, the market's resolution source via Wunderground daily history, confirm a peak temperature of 28°C on May 15, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for this outcome amid heavy cloud cover, morning thunderstorms, and 80-90% humidity that suppressed solar heating. China Meteorological Administration reports highlight persistent showers tied to early monsoon influences, capping highs well below the prior days' 31-32°C and May climatological average of 29°C. With sunset approaching and no clearing forecast, realistic challenges would require an improbable late-afternoon heat burst from sudden sunshine piercing the overcast, though model ensembles show continued stability. Final data release expected post-midnight.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于5月15日深圳气温最高？
5月15日深圳气温最高？
28°C 99.8%
29°C <1%
30°C或更高 <1%
$60,215 交易量
$60,215 交易量
2026-05-15
28°C
100%
29°C
<1%
30°C或更高
<1%
28°C 99.8%
29°C <1%
30°C或更高 <1%
$60,215 交易量
$60,215 交易量
2026-05-15
28°C
$11,943 交易量
100%
29°C
$7,415 交易量
<1%
30°C或更高
$14,148 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport station, the market's resolution source via Wunderground daily history, confirm a peak temperature of 28°C on May 15, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for this outcome amid heavy cloud cover, morning thunderstorms, and 80-90% humidity that suppressed solar heating. China Meteorological Administration reports highlight persistent showers tied to early monsoon influences, capping highs well below the prior days' 31-32°C and May climatological average of 29°C. With sunset approaching and no clearing forecast, realistic challenges would require an improbable late-afternoon heat burst from sudden sunshine piercing the overcast, though model ensembles show continued stability. Final data release expected post-midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 13, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
交易量
$60,215结束日期
2026-05-15市场开放时间
May 13, 2026, 12:09 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport station, the market's resolution source via Wunderground daily history, confirm a peak temperature of 28°C on May 15, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for this outcome amid heavy cloud cover, morning thunderstorms, and 80-90% humidity that suppressed solar heating. China Meteorological Administration reports highlight persistent showers tied to early monsoon influences, capping highs well below the prior days' 31-32°C and May climatological average of 29°C. With sunset approaching and no clearing forecast, realistic challenges would require an improbable late-afternoon heat burst from sudden sunshine piercing the overcast, though model ensembles show continued stability. Final data release expected post-midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$60,215结束日期
2026-05-15市场开放时间
May 13, 2026, 12:09 AM ETOfficial observations from the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport station, the market's resolution source via Wunderground daily history, confirm a peak temperature of 28°C on May 15, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for this outcome amid heavy cloud cover, morning thunderstorms, and 80-90% humidity that suppressed solar heating. China Meteorological Administration reports highlight persistent showers tied to early monsoon influences, capping highs well below the prior days' 31-32°C and May climatological average of 29°C. With sunset approaching and no clearing forecast, realistic challenges would require an improbable late-afternoon heat burst from sudden sunshine piercing the overcast, though model ensembles show continued stability. Final data release expected post-midnight.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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