Hong Kong Observatory's latest 9-day forecast, updated late on May 15, pins Saturday's high temperature range at 24–27°C under a lingering trough of low pressure over the northern South China Sea, fueling cloudy skies, heavy showers, and thunderstorms early, with fresh to strong easterly winds. This synoptic pattern suppresses peak heating by reducing solar insolation through extensive cloud cover and evaporative cooling from rain, capping diurnal temperature rises amid 80–95% relative humidity—explaining trader consensus favoring 27°C (35.5%) slightly over 26°C (33.0%). Below-seasonal norms (May averages ~28–29°C) reflect the trough's persistence over the past 48 hours, with model consensus showing minimal spread; a final HKO bulletin or morning observations could tip the balance before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Hong Kong on May 16?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on May 16?
27°C 36%
26°C 33%
28°C 14%
25°C 10.5%
最新
$92,708 交易量
最新
$92,708 交易量
2026-05-16
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
11%
26°C
33%
27°C
36%
28°C
14%
29°C or higher
6%
27°C 36%
26°C 33%
28°C 14%
25°C 10.5%
最新
$92,708 交易量
最新
$92,708 交易量
2026-05-16
19°C or below
$18,029 交易量
<1%
20°C
$11,619 交易量
<1%
21°C
$11,859 交易量
<1%
22°C
$6,600 交易量
<1%
23°C
$2,638 交易量
<1%
24°C
$16,505 交易量
<1%
25°C
$6,541 交易量
11%
26°C
$4,131 交易量
33%
27°C
$4,112 交易量
36%
28°C
$3,605 交易量
14%
29°C or higher
$7,083 交易量
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory's latest 9-day forecast, updated late on May 15, pins Saturday's high temperature range at 24–27°C under a lingering trough of low pressure over the northern South China Sea, fueling cloudy skies, heavy showers, and thunderstorms early, with fresh to strong easterly winds. This synoptic pattern suppresses peak heating by reducing solar insolation through extensive cloud cover and evaporative cooling from rain, capping diurnal temperature rises amid 80–95% relative humidity—explaining trader consensus favoring 27°C (35.5%) slightly over 26°C (33.0%). Below-seasonal norms (May averages ~28–29°C) reflect the trough's persistence over the past 48 hours, with model consensus showing minimal spread; a final HKO bulletin or morning observations could tip the balance before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 14, 2026, 12:14 AM ET
交易量
$92,708结束日期
2026-05-16市场开放时间
May 14, 2026, 12:14 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory's latest 9-day forecast, updated late on May 15, pins Saturday's high temperature range at 24–27°C under a lingering trough of low pressure over the northern South China Sea, fueling cloudy skies, heavy showers, and thunderstorms early, with fresh to strong easterly winds. This synoptic pattern suppresses peak heating by reducing solar insolation through extensive cloud cover and evaporative cooling from rain, capping diurnal temperature rises amid 80–95% relative humidity—explaining trader consensus favoring 27°C (35.5%) slightly over 26°C (33.0%). Below-seasonal norms (May averages ~28–29°C) reflect the trough's persistence over the past 48 hours, with model consensus showing minimal spread; a final HKO bulletin or morning observations could tip the balance before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$92,708结束日期
2026-05-16市场开放时间
May 14, 2026, 12:14 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hong Kong Observatory's latest 9-day forecast, updated late on May 15, pins Saturday's high temperature range at 24–27°C under a lingering trough of low pressure over the northern South China Sea, fueling cloudy skies, heavy showers, and thunderstorms early, with fresh to strong easterly winds. This synoptic pattern suppresses peak heating by reducing solar insolation through extensive cloud cover and evaporative cooling from rain, capping diurnal temperature rises amid 80–95% relative humidity—explaining trader consensus favoring 27°C (35.5%) slightly over 26°C (33.0%). Below-seasonal norms (May averages ~28–29°C) reflect the trough's persistence over the past 48 hours, with model consensus showing minimal spread; a final HKO bulletin or morning observations could tip the balance before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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