Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a high of 66-67°F at 46% and 68-69°F at 36.5% for New York City's Central Park on May 15, 2026, reflecting National Weather Service forecasts projecting a peak near 66°F under a lingering upper-level trough over the Northeast that suppresses temperatures 4-5°F below the 70°F climatological average. Observed overnight lows around 53°F, northerly winds around 6-11 mph promoting mixing, and partly to mostly sunny skies with possible afternoon clouds introduce uncertainty, as greater insolation or delayed clearing could push toward 68-69°F while increased cloudiness caps at 66-67°F. Model runs like GFS show tight agreement within 2-3°F; monitor hourly NWS updates through late afternoon for resolution-defining observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in NYC on May 15?
Highest temperature in NYC on May 15?
66-67°F 46%
68-69°F 37%
70-71°F 10.4%
64-65°F 6%
$40,770 交易量
$40,770 交易量
2026-05-15
55°F or below
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
2%
64-65°F
6%
66-67°F
46%
68-69°F
37%
70-71°F
10%
72-73°F
1%
74°F or higher
<1%
66-67°F 46%
68-69°F 37%
70-71°F 10.4%
64-65°F 6%
$40,770 交易量
$40,770 交易量
2026-05-15
55°F or below
$2,587 交易量
<1%
56-57°F
$2,113 交易量
<1%
58-59°F
$2,943 交易量
<1%
60-61°F
$3,381 交易量
<1%
62-63°F
$5,546 交易量
2%
64-65°F
$5,213 交易量
6%
66-67°F
$4,682 交易量
46%
68-69°F
$3,207 交易量
37%
70-71°F
$3,903 交易量
10%
72-73°F
$2,700 交易量
1%
74°F or higher
$4,587 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a high of 66-67°F at 46% and 68-69°F at 36.5% for New York City's Central Park on May 15, 2026, reflecting National Weather Service forecasts projecting a peak near 66°F under a lingering upper-level trough over the Northeast that suppresses temperatures 4-5°F below the 70°F climatological average. Observed overnight lows around 53°F, northerly winds around 6-11 mph promoting mixing, and partly to mostly sunny skies with possible afternoon clouds introduce uncertainty, as greater insolation or delayed clearing could push toward 68-69°F while increased cloudiness caps at 66-67°F. Model runs like GFS show tight agreement within 2-3°F; monitor hourly NWS updates through late afternoon for resolution-defining observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
交易量
$40,770结束日期
2026-05-15市场开放时间
May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a high of 66-67°F at 46% and 68-69°F at 36.5% for New York City's Central Park on May 15, 2026, reflecting National Weather Service forecasts projecting a peak near 66°F under a lingering upper-level trough over the Northeast that suppresses temperatures 4-5°F below the 70°F climatological average. Observed overnight lows around 53°F, northerly winds around 6-11 mph promoting mixing, and partly to mostly sunny skies with possible afternoon clouds introduce uncertainty, as greater insolation or delayed clearing could push toward 68-69°F while increased cloudiness caps at 66-67°F. Model runs like GFS show tight agreement within 2-3°F; monitor hourly NWS updates through late afternoon for resolution-defining observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$40,770结束日期
2026-05-15市场开放时间
May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket prices a high of 66-67°F at 46% and 68-69°F at 36.5% for New York City's Central Park on May 15, 2026, reflecting National Weather Service forecasts projecting a peak near 66°F under a lingering upper-level trough over the Northeast that suppresses temperatures 4-5°F below the 70°F climatological average. Observed overnight lows around 53°F, northerly winds around 6-11 mph promoting mixing, and partly to mostly sunny skies with possible afternoon clouds introduce uncertainty, as greater insolation or delayed clearing could push toward 68-69°F while increased cloudiness caps at 66-67°F. Model runs like GFS show tight agreement within 2-3°F; monitor hourly NWS updates through late afternoon for resolution-defining observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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