Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts show 2-meter temperatures in Amsterdam clustering around 14-16°C on May 17, reflecting trader consensus with 15°C at 34.5% implied probability amid close competition from 14°C (26.5%) and 16°C (15.3%). This positioning stems from a persistent cool maritime air mass over the North Sea, reinforced by May 15 observations of morning lows near 10°C and light rain, limiting solar heating. Key differentiators include cloud cover variability—overcast skies could cap highs at 14°C, while afternoon clearing might boost to 16°C—and onshore winds moderating warmth. KNMI-aligned guidance notes 50-60% precipitation odds, below historical mid-May averages of 16°C. New model runs from ECMWF (00Z/12Z) and HARMONIE tomorrow will sharpen resolution as the event nears.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于5月17日阿姆斯特丹气温最高？
5月17日阿姆斯特丹气温最高？
15°C 35%
14°C 28%
13°C 20%
16°C 17.0%
最新
最新
2026-05-17
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
2%
13°C
20%
14°C
28%
15°C
35%
16°C
17%
17°C
3%
18°C
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
15°C 35%
14°C 28%
13°C 20%
16°C 17.0%
最新
最新
2026-05-17
10°C or below
$602 交易量
<1%
11°C
$151 交易量
1%
12°C
$154 交易量
2%
13°C
$300 交易量
20%
14°C
$333 交易量
28%
15°C
$86 交易量
35%
16°C
$98 交易量
17%
17°C
$301 交易量
3%
18°C
$242 交易量
1%
19°C
$150 交易量
<1%
20°C or higher
$118 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts show 2-meter temperatures in Amsterdam clustering around 14-16°C on May 17, reflecting trader consensus with 15°C at 34.5% implied probability amid close competition from 14°C (26.5%) and 16°C (15.3%). This positioning stems from a persistent cool maritime air mass over the North Sea, reinforced by May 15 observations of morning lows near 10°C and light rain, limiting solar heating. Key differentiators include cloud cover variability—overcast skies could cap highs at 14°C, while afternoon clearing might boost to 16°C—and onshore winds moderating warmth. KNMI-aligned guidance notes 50-60% precipitation odds, below historical mid-May averages of 16°C. New model runs from ECMWF (00Z/12Z) and HARMONIE tomorrow will sharpen resolution as the event nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
交易量
$2,534结束日期
2026-05-17市场开放时间
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts show 2-meter temperatures in Amsterdam clustering around 14-16°C on May 17, reflecting trader consensus with 15°C at 34.5% implied probability amid close competition from 14°C (26.5%) and 16°C (15.3%). This positioning stems from a persistent cool maritime air mass over the North Sea, reinforced by May 15 observations of morning lows near 10°C and light rain, limiting solar heating. Key differentiators include cloud cover variability—overcast skies could cap highs at 14°C, while afternoon clearing might boost to 16°C—and onshore winds moderating warmth. KNMI-aligned guidance notes 50-60% precipitation odds, below historical mid-May averages of 16°C. New model runs from ECMWF (00Z/12Z) and HARMONIE tomorrow will sharpen resolution as the event nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$2,534结束日期
2026-05-17市场开放时间
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETLatest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts show 2-meter temperatures in Amsterdam clustering around 14-16°C on May 17, reflecting trader consensus with 15°C at 34.5% implied probability amid close competition from 14°C (26.5%) and 16°C (15.3%). This positioning stems from a persistent cool maritime air mass over the North Sea, reinforced by May 15 observations of morning lows near 10°C and light rain, limiting solar heating. Key differentiators include cloud cover variability—overcast skies could cap highs at 14°C, while afternoon clearing might boost to 16°C—and onshore winds moderating warmth. KNMI-aligned guidance notes 50-60% precipitation odds, below historical mid-May averages of 16°C. New model runs from ECMWF (00Z/12Z) and HARMONIE tomorrow will sharpen resolution as the event nears.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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