Official meteorological observations from São Paulo confirmed a maximum temperature no higher than 20°C on May 15, establishing the dominant market consensus at 100% implied probability for that outcome. Cool, stable atmospheric conditions with southerly flow suppressed daytime warming, keeping highs near or below seasonal averages around 21–23°C. Traders priced in near-certainty once real-time station data aligned with model guidance from the Brazilian National Institute of Meteorology. Only an unexpected post-event revision to official records or a different station selection criterion could shift resolution, though such adjustments remain historically rare for this market type.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于5月15日圣保罗的最高温度？
5月15日圣保罗的最高温度？
20°C或以下 100.0%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$68,505 交易量
$68,505 交易量
2026-05-15
20°C或以下
100%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C或以上
<1%
20°C或以下 100.0%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$68,505 交易量
$68,505 交易量
2026-05-15
20°C或以下
$18,820 交易量
100%
21°C
$6,696 交易量
<1%
22°C
$7,367 交易量
<1%
23°C
$6,674 交易量
<1%
24°C
$6,943 交易量
<1%
25°C
$8,183 交易量
<1%
26°C
$5,085 交易量
<1%
27°C
$3,005 交易量
<1%
28°C
$2,803 交易量
<1%
29°C
$854 交易量
<1%
30°C或以上
$2,074 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official meteorological observations from São Paulo confirmed a maximum temperature no higher than 20°C on May 15, establishing the dominant market consensus at 100% implied probability for that outcome. Cool, stable atmospheric conditions with southerly flow suppressed daytime warming, keeping highs near or below seasonal averages around 21–23°C. Traders priced in near-certainty once real-time station data aligned with model guidance from the Brazilian National Institute of Meteorology. Only an unexpected post-event revision to official records or a different station selection criterion could shift resolution, though such adjustments remain historically rare for this market type.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
交易量
$68,505结束日期
2026-05-15市场开放时间
May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ET已提议结果: 是
无争议
最终结果: 是
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official meteorological observations from São Paulo confirmed a maximum temperature no higher than 20°C on May 15, establishing the dominant market consensus at 100% implied probability for that outcome. Cool, stable atmospheric conditions with southerly flow suppressed daytime warming, keeping highs near or below seasonal averages around 21–23°C. Traders priced in near-certainty once real-time station data aligned with model guidance from the Brazilian National Institute of Meteorology. Only an unexpected post-event revision to official records or a different station selection criterion could shift resolution, though such adjustments remain historically rare for this market type.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$68,505结束日期
2026-05-15市场开放时间
May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ET已提议结果: 是
无争议
最终结果: 是
Official meteorological observations from São Paulo confirmed a maximum temperature no higher than 20°C on May 15, establishing the dominant market consensus at 100% implied probability for that outcome. Cool, stable atmospheric conditions with southerly flow suppressed daytime warming, keeping highs near or below seasonal averages around 21–23°C. Traders priced in near-certainty once real-time station data aligned with model guidance from the Brazilian National Institute of Meteorology. Only an unexpected post-event revision to official records or a different station selection criterion could shift resolution, though such adjustments remain historically rare for this market type.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题