Official measurements from Environment Canada at Toronto Pearson International Airport, the designated resolution station, recorded a daily maximum of 20°C on May 15 under mainly sunny skies and light southerly flow. This outcome aligned closely with seasonal climatological norms near 19–20°C and consensus guidance from the GEM, GFS, and ECMWF models, which projected modest boundary-layer warming without significant advection or cloud cover to suppress peaks. The market’s near-certain pricing at 20°C reflects trader recognition that station-specific data, rather than downtown urban heat-island effects, governs resolution. Only an unreported sensor anomaly or post-analysis revision could alter the result, scenarios with negligible probability given standard verification protocols.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于5月15日多伦多气温最高?
20°C 100.0%
12°C或以下 <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$63,548 交易量
$63,548 交易量
12°C或以下
否
13°C
否
14°C
否
15°C
否
16°C
否
17°C
否
18°C
否
19°C
否
20°C
是
21°C
否
22°C或更高
否
20°C 100.0%
12°C或以下 <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$63,548 交易量
$63,548 交易量
12°C或以下
否
13°C
否
14°C
否
15°C
否
16°C
否
17°C
否
18°C
否
19°C
否
20°C
是
21°C
否
22°C或更高
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Official measurements from Environment Canada at Toronto Pearson International Airport, the designated resolution station, recorded a daily maximum of 20°C on May 15 under mainly sunny skies and light southerly flow. This outcome aligned closely with seasonal climatological norms near 19–20°C and consensus guidance from the GEM, GFS, and ECMWF models, which projected modest boundary-layer warming without significant advection or cloud cover to suppress peaks. The market’s near-certain pricing at 20°C reflects trader recognition that station-specific data, rather than downtown urban heat-island effects, governs resolution. Only an unreported sensor anomaly or post-analysis revision could alter the result, scenarios with negligible probability given standard verification protocols.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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