Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the latest Météo-France guidance and ECMWF/GFS ensemble forecasts, which cluster Paris's May 17 highest temperature around 14-17°C amid a persistent cool, unstable weather pattern over Île-de-France. A blocking upper-level trough has locked in below-normal temperatures—well shy of the May climatological average of 19°C—fueled by frequent cloud cover and scattered showers limiting solar insolation. The slight edge to 16°C stems from the ensemble mean, but 1-2°C model divergences arise from varying depictions of stratus thickness and potential afternoon clearing; thicker overcast favors 14-15°C, while thinner layers could push toward 17°C. New 12z ECMWF runs and Météo-France bulletins expected Saturday morning may sharpen resolution amid inherent short-range forecast uncertainty.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于5月17日巴黎气温最高？
5月17日巴黎气温最高？
15°C 35%
16°C 33%
17°C 21%
14°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-05-17
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
2%
14°C
10%
15°C
35%
16°C
33%
17°C
21%
18°C
6%
19°C
1%
20°C or higher
1%
15°C 35%
16°C 33%
17°C 21%
14°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-05-17
10°C or below
$520 交易量
<1%
11°C
$216 交易量
<1%
12°C
$291 交易量
<1%
13°C
$304 交易量
2%
14°C
$700 交易量
10%
15°C
$603 交易量
35%
16°C
$476 交易量
33%
17°C
$446 交易量
21%
18°C
$586 交易量
6%
19°C
$640 交易量
1%
20°C or higher
$478 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the latest Météo-France guidance and ECMWF/GFS ensemble forecasts, which cluster Paris's May 17 highest temperature around 14-17°C amid a persistent cool, unstable weather pattern over Île-de-France. A blocking upper-level trough has locked in below-normal temperatures—well shy of the May climatological average of 19°C—fueled by frequent cloud cover and scattered showers limiting solar insolation. The slight edge to 16°C stems from the ensemble mean, but 1-2°C model divergences arise from varying depictions of stratus thickness and potential afternoon clearing; thicker overcast favors 14-15°C, while thinner layers could push toward 17°C. New 12z ECMWF runs and Météo-France bulletins expected Saturday morning may sharpen resolution amid inherent short-range forecast uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$5,243结束日期
2026-05-17市场开放时间
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the latest Météo-France guidance and ECMWF/GFS ensemble forecasts, which cluster Paris's May 17 highest temperature around 14-17°C amid a persistent cool, unstable weather pattern over Île-de-France. A blocking upper-level trough has locked in below-normal temperatures—well shy of the May climatological average of 19°C—fueled by frequent cloud cover and scattered showers limiting solar insolation. The slight edge to 16°C stems from the ensemble mean, but 1-2°C model divergences arise from varying depictions of stratus thickness and potential afternoon clearing; thicker overcast favors 14-15°C, while thinner layers could push toward 17°C. New 12z ECMWF runs and Météo-France bulletins expected Saturday morning may sharpen resolution amid inherent short-range forecast uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$5,243结束日期
2026-05-17市场开放时间
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket reflects the latest Météo-France guidance and ECMWF/GFS ensemble forecasts, which cluster Paris's May 17 highest temperature around 14-17°C amid a persistent cool, unstable weather pattern over Île-de-France. A blocking upper-level trough has locked in below-normal temperatures—well shy of the May climatological average of 19°C—fueled by frequent cloud cover and scattered showers limiting solar insolation. The slight edge to 16°C stems from the ensemble mean, but 1-2°C model divergences arise from varying depictions of stratus thickness and potential afternoon clearing; thicker overcast favors 14-15°C, while thinner layers could push toward 17°C. New 12z ECMWF runs and Météo-France bulletins expected Saturday morning may sharpen resolution amid inherent short-range forecast uncertainty.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题