National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model consensus project a daytime high near 70°F in Denver on May 17, anchoring the market-implied 92.5% probability on 71°F or below. This positioning follows several days of well-above-normal warmth driven by a strong upper-level ridge, with recent highs reaching the mid-80s, yet an incoming shortwave trough and northerly flow are expected to introduce cooler, drier air and modest afternoon cloud cover that should cap temperatures below the mid-May climatological average of 73°F. Key variables that could realistically shift the outcome include any delay in trough passage or reduced cloud cover allowing greater solar insolation, though current model agreement keeps such scenarios low-probability.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于5月17日丹佛最高气温？
5月17日丹佛最高气温？
71°F or below 93%
72-73°F 6%
74-75°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
最新
$22,662 交易量
最新
$22,662 交易量
2026-05-17
71°F or below
93%
72-73°F
6%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F or higher
<1%
71°F or below 93%
72-73°F 6%
74-75°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
最新
$22,662 交易量
最新
$22,662 交易量
2026-05-17
71°F or below
$1,529 交易量
93%
72-73°F
$1,396 交易量
6%
74-75°F
$2,912 交易量
1%
76-77°F
$2,357 交易量
1%
78-79°F
$4,171 交易量
<1%
80-81°F
$2,751 交易量
1%
82-83°F
$3,434 交易量
<1%
84-85°F
$776 交易量
<1%
86-87°F
$456 交易量
<1%
88-89°F
$481 交易量
<1%
90°F or higher
$2,411 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model consensus project a daytime high near 70°F in Denver on May 17, anchoring the market-implied 92.5% probability on 71°F or below. This positioning follows several days of well-above-normal warmth driven by a strong upper-level ridge, with recent highs reaching the mid-80s, yet an incoming shortwave trough and northerly flow are expected to introduce cooler, drier air and modest afternoon cloud cover that should cap temperatures below the mid-May climatological average of 73°F. Key variables that could realistically shift the outcome include any delay in trough passage or reduced cloud cover allowing greater solar insolation, though current model agreement keeps such scenarios low-probability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
交易量
$22,662结束日期
2026-05-17市场开放时间
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model consensus project a daytime high near 70°F in Denver on May 17, anchoring the market-implied 92.5% probability on 71°F or below. This positioning follows several days of well-above-normal warmth driven by a strong upper-level ridge, with recent highs reaching the mid-80s, yet an incoming shortwave trough and northerly flow are expected to introduce cooler, drier air and modest afternoon cloud cover that should cap temperatures below the mid-May climatological average of 73°F. Key variables that could realistically shift the outcome include any delay in trough passage or reduced cloud cover allowing greater solar insolation, though current model agreement keeps such scenarios low-probability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$22,662结束日期
2026-05-17市场开放时间
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETNational Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model consensus project a daytime high near 70°F in Denver on May 17, anchoring the market-implied 92.5% probability on 71°F or below. This positioning follows several days of well-above-normal warmth driven by a strong upper-level ridge, with recent highs reaching the mid-80s, yet an incoming shortwave trough and northerly flow are expected to introduce cooler, drier air and modest afternoon cloud cover that should cap temperatures below the mid-May climatological average of 73°F. Key variables that could realistically shift the outcome include any delay in trough passage or reduced cloud cover allowing greater solar insolation, though current model agreement keeps such scenarios low-probability.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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