National Weather Service guidance and major forecast models including the GFS and ECMWF currently project a daytime high of 78–81°F for Denver on May 16, anchoring trader consensus around the leading 78–79°F outcome at 41 percent implied probability. This positioning arises from a strong upper-level ridge promoting subsidence, clear skies, and strong solar insolation atop overnight lows near 55°F, with dry soils enhancing surface warming well above the mid-May climatological normal of 73°F. Light south-southeast winds and minimal cloud cover favor peak readings in the late afternoon, though an approaching weak shortwave trough introduces modest uncertainty that could limit highs to the mid-70s. Traders are monitoring the next 00z model runs for refinements ahead of final hourly observations at Denver International Airport.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Denver on May 16?
Highest temperature in Denver on May 16?
78-79°F 41%
80-81°F 21%
76-77°F 19%
74-75°F 4.7%
$39,213 交易量
$39,213 交易量
2026-05-16
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
5%
76-77°F
19%
78-79°F
41%
80-81°F
21%
82-83°F
4%
84°F or higher
1%
78-79°F 41%
80-81°F 21%
76-77°F 19%
74-75°F 4.7%
$39,213 交易量
$39,213 交易量
2026-05-16
66-67°F
$3,681 交易量
<1%
68-69°F
$2,104 交易量
<1%
70-71°F
$1,995 交易量
<1%
72-73°F
$3,389 交易量
<1%
74-75°F
$1,623 交易量
5%
76-77°F
$1,386 交易量
19%
78-79°F
$1,692 交易量
41%
80-81°F
$2,179 交易量
21%
82-83°F
$2,718 交易量
4%
84°F or higher
$3,209 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service guidance and major forecast models including the GFS and ECMWF currently project a daytime high of 78–81°F for Denver on May 16, anchoring trader consensus around the leading 78–79°F outcome at 41 percent implied probability. This positioning arises from a strong upper-level ridge promoting subsidence, clear skies, and strong solar insolation atop overnight lows near 55°F, with dry soils enhancing surface warming well above the mid-May climatological normal of 73°F. Light south-southeast winds and minimal cloud cover favor peak readings in the late afternoon, though an approaching weak shortwave trough introduces modest uncertainty that could limit highs to the mid-70s. Traders are monitoring the next 00z model runs for refinements ahead of final hourly observations at Denver International Airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 14, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
交易量
$39,213结束日期
2026-05-16市场开放时间
May 14, 2026, 12:07 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service guidance and major forecast models including the GFS and ECMWF currently project a daytime high of 78–81°F for Denver on May 16, anchoring trader consensus around the leading 78–79°F outcome at 41 percent implied probability. This positioning arises from a strong upper-level ridge promoting subsidence, clear skies, and strong solar insolation atop overnight lows near 55°F, with dry soils enhancing surface warming well above the mid-May climatological normal of 73°F. Light south-southeast winds and minimal cloud cover favor peak readings in the late afternoon, though an approaching weak shortwave trough introduces modest uncertainty that could limit highs to the mid-70s. Traders are monitoring the next 00z model runs for refinements ahead of final hourly observations at Denver International Airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$39,213结束日期
2026-05-16市场开放时间
May 14, 2026, 12:07 AM ETNational Weather Service guidance and major forecast models including the GFS and ECMWF currently project a daytime high of 78–81°F for Denver on May 16, anchoring trader consensus around the leading 78–79°F outcome at 41 percent implied probability. This positioning arises from a strong upper-level ridge promoting subsidence, clear skies, and strong solar insolation atop overnight lows near 55°F, with dry soils enhancing surface warming well above the mid-May climatological normal of 73°F. Light south-southeast winds and minimal cloud cover favor peak readings in the late afternoon, though an approaching weak shortwave trough introduces modest uncertainty that could limit highs to the mid-70s. Traders are monitoring the next 00z model runs for refinements ahead of final hourly observations at Denver International Airport.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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