Central Weather Administration guidance and recent ECMWF-GFS ensemble runs place Taipei's expected high on May 16 at 28–29 °C under a subtropical ridge with partly cloudy skies and minimal precipitation risk. Slight model spread stems from uncertain sea-breeze timing and afternoon convective development, which could cap readings at 28 °C or allow brief sun breaks to reach 30 °C. Historical Songshan Airport data show mid-May maxima cluster in this narrow range, so the tight market spread between 28 °C and 29 °C largely reflects traders pricing residual cloud-cover and urban-heat variability ahead of the final CWA afternoon update.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Taipei on May 16?
Highest temperature in Taipei on May 16?
28°C 39%
29°C 35%
30°C 18%
31°C或以上 8%
最新
$24,968 交易量
最新
$24,968 交易量
2026-05-16
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
7%
28°C
39%
29°C
35%
30°C
18%
31°C或以上
8%
28°C 39%
29°C 35%
30°C 18%
31°C或以上 8%
最新
$24,968 交易量
最新
$24,968 交易量
2026-05-16
24°C
$1,052 交易量
<1%
25°C
$1,836 交易量
<1%
26°C
$3,493 交易量
<1%
27°C
$2,193 交易量
7%
28°C
$3,112 交易量
39%
29°C
$2,477 交易量
35%
30°C
$2,764 交易量
18%
31°C或以上
$3,335 交易量
8%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Central Weather Administration guidance and recent ECMWF-GFS ensemble runs place Taipei's expected high on May 16 at 28–29 °C under a subtropical ridge with partly cloudy skies and minimal precipitation risk. Slight model spread stems from uncertain sea-breeze timing and afternoon convective development, which could cap readings at 28 °C or allow brief sun breaks to reach 30 °C. Historical Songshan Airport data show mid-May maxima cluster in this narrow range, so the tight market spread between 28 °C and 29 °C largely reflects traders pricing residual cloud-cover and urban-heat variability ahead of the final CWA afternoon update.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 14, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
交易量
$24,968结束日期
2026-05-16市场开放时间
May 14, 2026, 12:08 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Central Weather Administration guidance and recent ECMWF-GFS ensemble runs place Taipei's expected high on May 16 at 28–29 °C under a subtropical ridge with partly cloudy skies and minimal precipitation risk. Slight model spread stems from uncertain sea-breeze timing and afternoon convective development, which could cap readings at 28 °C or allow brief sun breaks to reach 30 °C. Historical Songshan Airport data show mid-May maxima cluster in this narrow range, so the tight market spread between 28 °C and 29 °C largely reflects traders pricing residual cloud-cover and urban-heat variability ahead of the final CWA afternoon update.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$24,968结束日期
2026-05-16市场开放时间
May 14, 2026, 12:08 AM ETCentral Weather Administration guidance and recent ECMWF-GFS ensemble runs place Taipei's expected high on May 16 at 28–29 °C under a subtropical ridge with partly cloudy skies and minimal precipitation risk. Slight model spread stems from uncertain sea-breeze timing and afternoon convective development, which could cap readings at 28 °C or allow brief sun breaks to reach 30 °C. Historical Songshan Airport data show mid-May maxima cluster in this narrow range, so the tight market spread between 28 °C and 29 °C largely reflects traders pricing residual cloud-cover and urban-heat variability ahead of the final CWA afternoon update.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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