Current forecasts from European models including ECMWF and GFS, supported by Italy’s Aeronautica Militare observations, indicate a highest temperature of 13°C in Milan today. Persistent cloud cover and heavy showers tied to a low-pressure system over Lombardy, combined with northerly airflow, are suppressing diurnal heating well below the mid-May climatological average of 22°C. These conditions limit afternoon warming and align with the market-implied odds placing near-certain probability on the 13°C outcome. Brief sun breaks or reduced precipitation could allow modest warming toward 14–15°C, though ensemble guidance shows low likelihood of such shifts before resolution this evening. Hourly readings from Milano Linate will confirm the final maximum.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Milan on May 15?
Highest temperature in Milan on May 15?
13°C 100.0%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$83,310 交易量
$83,310 交易量
2026-05-15
13°C
100%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
13°C 100.0%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$83,310 交易量
$83,310 交易量
2026-05-15
13°C
$12,431 交易量
100%
14°C
$8,915 交易量
<1%
15°C
$6,989 交易量
<1%
16°C
$6,023 交易量
<1%
17°C
$9,261 交易量
<1%
18°C
$9,132 交易量
<1%
19°C or higher
$6,916 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from European models including ECMWF and GFS, supported by Italy’s Aeronautica Militare observations, indicate a highest temperature of 13°C in Milan today. Persistent cloud cover and heavy showers tied to a low-pressure system over Lombardy, combined with northerly airflow, are suppressing diurnal heating well below the mid-May climatological average of 22°C. These conditions limit afternoon warming and align with the market-implied odds placing near-certain probability on the 13°C outcome. Brief sun breaks or reduced precipitation could allow modest warming toward 14–15°C, though ensemble guidance shows low likelihood of such shifts before resolution this evening. Hourly readings from Milano Linate will confirm the final maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
交易量
$83,310结束日期
2026-05-15市场开放时间
May 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from European models including ECMWF and GFS, supported by Italy’s Aeronautica Militare observations, indicate a highest temperature of 13°C in Milan today. Persistent cloud cover and heavy showers tied to a low-pressure system over Lombardy, combined with northerly airflow, are suppressing diurnal heating well below the mid-May climatological average of 22°C. These conditions limit afternoon warming and align with the market-implied odds placing near-certain probability on the 13°C outcome. Brief sun breaks or reduced precipitation could allow modest warming toward 14–15°C, though ensemble guidance shows low likelihood of such shifts before resolution this evening. Hourly readings from Milano Linate will confirm the final maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$83,310结束日期
2026-05-15市场开放时间
May 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ETCurrent forecasts from European models including ECMWF and GFS, supported by Italy’s Aeronautica Militare observations, indicate a highest temperature of 13°C in Milan today. Persistent cloud cover and heavy showers tied to a low-pressure system over Lombardy, combined with northerly airflow, are suppressing diurnal heating well below the mid-May climatological average of 22°C. These conditions limit afternoon warming and align with the market-implied odds placing near-certain probability on the 13°C outcome. Brief sun breaks or reduced precipitation could allow modest warming toward 14–15°C, though ensemble guidance shows low likelihood of such shifts before resolution this evening. Hourly readings from Milano Linate will confirm the final maximum.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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