Korea Meteorological Administration short-term forecasts project Seoul's highest temperature on May 16 reaching 23–32°C under a persistent high-pressure ridge fostering clear skies, subsidence warming, and enhanced solar insolation, with GFS and ECMWF ensemble models converging on peaks around 27–29°C. This trader consensus—implied 67% odds for 26°C or higher—stems from recent observations of 26.3°C on May 14 and over 25°C mid-afternoon May 15 amid low humidity and urban heat island effects, exceeding mid-May climatological averages of 23–25°C. Model spread accounts for 24% at exactly 25°C and 10.5% at 24°C, reflecting potential moderation from overnight cooling or minor clouds. Updated KMA advisories and station data through May 16 will sharpen resolution amid typical forecast uncertainty.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Seoul on May 16?
Highest temperature in Seoul on May 16?
26°C or higher 64%
25°C 22%
24°C 9%
23°C 1.4%
最新
$70,858 交易量
最新
$70,858 交易量
2026-05-16
16°C或以下
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
9%
25°C
22%
26°C or higher
64%
26°C or higher 64%
25°C 22%
24°C 9%
23°C 1.4%
最新
$70,858 交易量
最新
$70,858 交易量
2026-05-16
16°C或以下
$5,933 交易量
<1%
17°C
$2,825 交易量
<1%
18°C
$1,737 交易量
<1%
19°C
$4,405 交易量
<1%
20°C
$6,106 交易量
<1%
21°C
$10,959 交易量
<1%
22°C
$10,387 交易量
<1%
23°C
$8,473 交易量
1%
24°C
$5,997 交易量
9%
25°C
$4,520 交易量
22%
26°C or higher
$9,820 交易量
64%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration short-term forecasts project Seoul's highest temperature on May 16 reaching 23–32°C under a persistent high-pressure ridge fostering clear skies, subsidence warming, and enhanced solar insolation, with GFS and ECMWF ensemble models converging on peaks around 27–29°C. This trader consensus—implied 67% odds for 26°C or higher—stems from recent observations of 26.3°C on May 14 and over 25°C mid-afternoon May 15 amid low humidity and urban heat island effects, exceeding mid-May climatological averages of 23–25°C. Model spread accounts for 24% at exactly 25°C and 10.5% at 24°C, reflecting potential moderation from overnight cooling or minor clouds. Updated KMA advisories and station data through May 16 will sharpen resolution amid typical forecast uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
交易量
$70,858结束日期
2026-05-16市场开放时间
May 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration short-term forecasts project Seoul's highest temperature on May 16 reaching 23–32°C under a persistent high-pressure ridge fostering clear skies, subsidence warming, and enhanced solar insolation, with GFS and ECMWF ensemble models converging on peaks around 27–29°C. This trader consensus—implied 67% odds for 26°C or higher—stems from recent observations of 26.3°C on May 14 and over 25°C mid-afternoon May 15 amid low humidity and urban heat island effects, exceeding mid-May climatological averages of 23–25°C. Model spread accounts for 24% at exactly 25°C and 10.5% at 24°C, reflecting potential moderation from overnight cooling or minor clouds. Updated KMA advisories and station data through May 16 will sharpen resolution amid typical forecast uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$70,858结束日期
2026-05-16市场开放时间
May 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ETKorea Meteorological Administration short-term forecasts project Seoul's highest temperature on May 16 reaching 23–32°C under a persistent high-pressure ridge fostering clear skies, subsidence warming, and enhanced solar insolation, with GFS and ECMWF ensemble models converging on peaks around 27–29°C. This trader consensus—implied 67% odds for 26°C or higher—stems from recent observations of 26.3°C on May 14 and over 25°C mid-afternoon May 15 amid low humidity and urban heat island effects, exceeding mid-May climatological averages of 23–25°C. Model spread accounts for 24% at exactly 25°C and 10.5% at 24°C, reflecting potential moderation from overnight cooling or minor clouds. Updated KMA advisories and station data through May 16 will sharpen resolution amid typical forecast uncertainty.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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