Current forecasts from major meteorological agencies place Moscow’s maximum temperature on May 17 in the narrow 24–25 °C range, explaining why those two outcomes dominate trader sentiment with nearly identical implied probabilities. Springtime atmospheric conditions over central Russia, including a moderating high-pressure ridge and variable cloud cover, create modest uncertainty in peak heating rates; slight differences in model timing of any passing moisture or wind shifts can easily move the daily high by one degree. Historical mid-May climatology at VDNKh station shows an average high near 19 °C, so current guidance already reflects above-normal warmth, yet the spread of ensemble runs keeps 23 °C and 26 °C viable tail scenarios. Official Hydrometcenter observations tomorrow will resolve the market directly.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于莫斯科5月17日最高气温？
莫斯科5月17日最高气温？
24°C 32%
25°C 30%
26°C 16.9%
23°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-05-17
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
7%
23°C
11%
24°C
32%
25°C
30%
26°C
17%
27°C
6%
28°C or higher
2%
24°C 32%
25°C 30%
26°C 16.9%
23°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-05-17
18°C or below
$582 交易量
<1%
19°C
$863 交易量
<1%
20°C
$437 交易量
1%
21°C
$714 交易量
2%
22°C
$163 交易量
7%
23°C
$148 交易量
11%
24°C
$113 交易量
32%
25°C
$110 交易量
30%
26°C
$430 交易量
17%
27°C
$251 交易量
6%
28°C or higher
$630 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from major meteorological agencies place Moscow’s maximum temperature on May 17 in the narrow 24–25 °C range, explaining why those two outcomes dominate trader sentiment with nearly identical implied probabilities. Springtime atmospheric conditions over central Russia, including a moderating high-pressure ridge and variable cloud cover, create modest uncertainty in peak heating rates; slight differences in model timing of any passing moisture or wind shifts can easily move the daily high by one degree. Historical mid-May climatology at VDNKh station shows an average high near 19 °C, so current guidance already reflects above-normal warmth, yet the spread of ensemble runs keeps 23 °C and 26 °C viable tail scenarios. Official Hydrometcenter observations tomorrow will resolve the market directly.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
交易量
$4,398结束日期
2026-05-17市场开放时间
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from major meteorological agencies place Moscow’s maximum temperature on May 17 in the narrow 24–25 °C range, explaining why those two outcomes dominate trader sentiment with nearly identical implied probabilities. Springtime atmospheric conditions over central Russia, including a moderating high-pressure ridge and variable cloud cover, create modest uncertainty in peak heating rates; slight differences in model timing of any passing moisture or wind shifts can easily move the daily high by one degree. Historical mid-May climatology at VDNKh station shows an average high near 19 °C, so current guidance already reflects above-normal warmth, yet the spread of ensemble runs keeps 23 °C and 26 °C viable tail scenarios. Official Hydrometcenter observations tomorrow will resolve the market directly.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$4,398结束日期
2026-05-17市场开放时间
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETCurrent forecasts from major meteorological agencies place Moscow’s maximum temperature on May 17 in the narrow 24–25 °C range, explaining why those two outcomes dominate trader sentiment with nearly identical implied probabilities. Springtime atmospheric conditions over central Russia, including a moderating high-pressure ridge and variable cloud cover, create modest uncertainty in peak heating rates; slight differences in model timing of any passing moisture or wind shifts can easily move the daily high by one degree. Historical mid-May climatology at VDNKh station shows an average high near 19 °C, so current guidance already reflects above-normal warmth, yet the spread of ensemble runs keeps 23 °C and 26 °C viable tail scenarios. Official Hydrometcenter observations tomorrow will resolve the market directly.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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