Trader consensus on Polymarket, with 43.5% implied probability for 68-69°F, aligns closely with the latest National Weather Service (NWS) guidance and ensemble model outputs like the 12Z GFS and NAM, projecting a high near 69°F at Los Angeles International Airport (LAX)—the official resolution source. Persistent marine layer stratus clouds, driven by moderate onshore flow from the cool Pacific waters, have capped recent highs in the upper 60s, as seen on May 13 (peaking at 69°F), with no significant pattern shift in overnight runs. Partial afternoon clearing remains possible, potentially nudging toward 70-71°F (22% odds), but climatological May norms at LAX (average 69°F) and low-level clouds favor the leading bin. Watch NWS updates this afternoon for any tweaks ahead of tomorrow's observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Los Angeles on May 15?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on May 15?
68-69°F 44%
70-71°F 21%
66-67°F 17%
72-73°F 8%
最新
$15,756 交易量
最新
$15,756 交易量
2026-05-15
55°F or below
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
1%
64-65°F
3%
66-67°F
17%
68-69°F
44%
70-71°F
21%
72-73°F
8%
74°F or higher
2%
68-69°F 44%
70-71°F 21%
66-67°F 17%
72-73°F 8%
最新
$15,756 交易量
最新
$15,756 交易量
2026-05-15
55°F or below
$1,497 交易量
<1%
56-57°F
$1,561 交易量
<1%
58-59°F
$1,429 交易量
<1%
60-61°F
$4,534 交易量
<1%
62-63°F
$1,520 交易量
1%
64-65°F
$908 交易量
3%
66-67°F
$1,574 交易量
17%
68-69°F
$468 交易量
44%
70-71°F
$339 交易量
21%
72-73°F
$303 交易量
8%
74°F or higher
$1,622 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket, with 43.5% implied probability for 68-69°F, aligns closely with the latest National Weather Service (NWS) guidance and ensemble model outputs like the 12Z GFS and NAM, projecting a high near 69°F at Los Angeles International Airport (LAX)—the official resolution source. Persistent marine layer stratus clouds, driven by moderate onshore flow from the cool Pacific waters, have capped recent highs in the upper 60s, as seen on May 13 (peaking at 69°F), with no significant pattern shift in overnight runs. Partial afternoon clearing remains possible, potentially nudging toward 70-71°F (22% odds), but climatological May norms at LAX (average 69°F) and low-level clouds favor the leading bin. Watch NWS updates this afternoon for any tweaks ahead of tomorrow's observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 13, 2026, 12:43 AM ET
交易量
$15,756结束日期
2026-05-15市场开放时间
May 13, 2026, 12:43 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket, with 43.5% implied probability for 68-69°F, aligns closely with the latest National Weather Service (NWS) guidance and ensemble model outputs like the 12Z GFS and NAM, projecting a high near 69°F at Los Angeles International Airport (LAX)—the official resolution source. Persistent marine layer stratus clouds, driven by moderate onshore flow from the cool Pacific waters, have capped recent highs in the upper 60s, as seen on May 13 (peaking at 69°F), with no significant pattern shift in overnight runs. Partial afternoon clearing remains possible, potentially nudging toward 70-71°F (22% odds), but climatological May norms at LAX (average 69°F) and low-level clouds favor the leading bin. Watch NWS updates this afternoon for any tweaks ahead of tomorrow's observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$15,756结束日期
2026-05-15市场开放时间
May 13, 2026, 12:43 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket, with 43.5% implied probability for 68-69°F, aligns closely with the latest National Weather Service (NWS) guidance and ensemble model outputs like the 12Z GFS and NAM, projecting a high near 69°F at Los Angeles International Airport (LAX)—the official resolution source. Persistent marine layer stratus clouds, driven by moderate onshore flow from the cool Pacific waters, have capped recent highs in the upper 60s, as seen on May 13 (peaking at 69°F), with no significant pattern shift in overnight runs. Partial afternoon clearing remains possible, potentially nudging toward 70-71°F (22% odds), but climatological May norms at LAX (average 69°F) and low-level clouds favor the leading bin. Watch NWS updates this afternoon for any tweaks ahead of tomorrow's observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题