Trader consensus has locked in 66-67°F as the highest temperature at LaGuardia Airport—the market's resolution source via Weather Underground—with near-certainty driven by official National Weather Service observations confirming a peak of 66°F amid persistent showers and overcast skies on May 14. This aligns with pre-event forecast model ensembles (GFS, ECMWF) projecting mid-60s highs under a cool upper-level trough over the Northeast, featuring 850 mb temperatures around 6°C that capped convective potential and diurnal heating. Cloudy conditions and a stalled frontal boundary limited solar insolation, keeping readings 3-5°F below the mid-May climatological average of 70°F. Final data ratification is pending but unlikely to shift, barring rare measurement revisions; clearing skies on May 15 signal a rebound.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in NYC on May 14?
Highest temperature in NYC on May 14?
66-67°F 100.0%
57°F or below <1%
58-59°F <1%
60-61°F <1%
$178,825 交易量
$178,825 交易量
2026-05-14
57°F or below
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
Yes
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76°F or higher
No
66-67°F 100.0%
57°F or below <1%
58-59°F <1%
60-61°F <1%
$178,825 交易量
$178,825 交易量
2026-05-14
57°F or below
$13,220 交易量
No
58-59°F
$9,008 交易量
No
60-61°F
$23,251 交易量
No
62-63°F
$16,726 交易量
No
64-65°F
$17,716 交易量
No
66-67°F
$18,376 交易量
Yes
68-69°F
$23,494 交易量
No
70-71°F
$23,432 交易量
No
72-73°F
$14,220 交易量
No
74-75°F
$5,476 交易量
No
76°F or higher
$13,908 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus has locked in 66-67°F as the highest temperature at LaGuardia Airport—the market's resolution source via Weather Underground—with near-certainty driven by official National Weather Service observations confirming a peak of 66°F amid persistent showers and overcast skies on May 14. This aligns with pre-event forecast model ensembles (GFS, ECMWF) projecting mid-60s highs under a cool upper-level trough over the Northeast, featuring 850 mb temperatures around 6°C that capped convective potential and diurnal heating. Cloudy conditions and a stalled frontal boundary limited solar insolation, keeping readings 3-5°F below the mid-May climatological average of 70°F. Final data ratification is pending but unlikely to shift, barring rare measurement revisions; clearing skies on May 15 signal a rebound.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 12, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
交易量
$178,825结束日期
2026-05-14市场开放时间
May 12, 2026, 12:05 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus has locked in 66-67°F as the highest temperature at LaGuardia Airport—the market's resolution source via Weather Underground—with near-certainty driven by official National Weather Service observations confirming a peak of 66°F amid persistent showers and overcast skies on May 14. This aligns with pre-event forecast model ensembles (GFS, ECMWF) projecting mid-60s highs under a cool upper-level trough over the Northeast, featuring 850 mb temperatures around 6°C that capped convective potential and diurnal heating. Cloudy conditions and a stalled frontal boundary limited solar insolation, keeping readings 3-5°F below the mid-May climatological average of 70°F. Final data ratification is pending but unlikely to shift, barring rare measurement revisions; clearing skies on May 15 signal a rebound.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$178,825结束日期
2026-05-14市场开放时间
May 12, 2026, 12:05 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Trader consensus has locked in 66-67°F as the highest temperature at LaGuardia Airport—the market's resolution source via Weather Underground—with near-certainty driven by official National Weather Service observations confirming a peak of 66°F amid persistent showers and overcast skies on May 14. This aligns with pre-event forecast model ensembles (GFS, ECMWF) projecting mid-60s highs under a cool upper-level trough over the Northeast, featuring 850 mb temperatures around 6°C that capped convective potential and diurnal heating. Cloudy conditions and a stalled frontal boundary limited solar insolation, keeping readings 3-5°F below the mid-May climatological average of 70°F. Final data ratification is pending but unlikely to shift, barring rare measurement revisions; clearing skies on May 15 signal a rebound.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题