Recent official forecasts from Indonesia’s meteorological agency highlight a narrow 30–33 °C range for Jakarta on May 16 amid the early dry-season transition, which reduces cloud cover and increases solar heating while equatorial stability and light winds suppress further warming. This climatological baseline, reinforced by the urban heat-island effect at the official Halim Perdanakusuma station, underpins the overwhelming 98.8 % market-implied probability for a 33 °C peak. The consensus reflects historical May averages near 32 °C and current model agreement that any convective development will remain brief and localized. A sudden intensification of afternoon showers or a last-minute steering-pattern shift could still cap readings at 32 °C, though such outcomes currently carry only fractional odds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Jakarta on May 16?
Highest temperature in Jakarta on May 16?
33°C 98.8%
35°C <1%
34°C <1%
31°C <1%
$65,613 交易量
$65,613 交易量
2026-05-16
31°C
<1%
33°C
99%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
33°C 98.8%
35°C <1%
34°C <1%
31°C <1%
$65,613 交易量
$65,613 交易量
2026-05-16
31°C
$12,565 交易量
<1%
33°C
$10,747 交易量
99%
34°C
$5,190 交易量
<1%
35°C
$4,418 交易量
<1%
36°C or higher
$2,047 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent official forecasts from Indonesia’s meteorological agency highlight a narrow 30–33 °C range for Jakarta on May 16 amid the early dry-season transition, which reduces cloud cover and increases solar heating while equatorial stability and light winds suppress further warming. This climatological baseline, reinforced by the urban heat-island effect at the official Halim Perdanakusuma station, underpins the overwhelming 98.8 % market-implied probability for a 33 °C peak. The consensus reflects historical May averages near 32 °C and current model agreement that any convective development will remain brief and localized. A sudden intensification of afternoon showers or a last-minute steering-pattern shift could still cap readings at 32 °C, though such outcomes currently carry only fractional odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 14, 2026, 12:21 AM ET
交易量
$65,613结束日期
2026-05-16市场开放时间
May 14, 2026, 12:21 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent official forecasts from Indonesia’s meteorological agency highlight a narrow 30–33 °C range for Jakarta on May 16 amid the early dry-season transition, which reduces cloud cover and increases solar heating while equatorial stability and light winds suppress further warming. This climatological baseline, reinforced by the urban heat-island effect at the official Halim Perdanakusuma station, underpins the overwhelming 98.8 % market-implied probability for a 33 °C peak. The consensus reflects historical May averages near 32 °C and current model agreement that any convective development will remain brief and localized. A sudden intensification of afternoon showers or a last-minute steering-pattern shift could still cap readings at 32 °C, though such outcomes currently carry only fractional odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$65,613结束日期
2026-05-16市场开放时间
May 14, 2026, 12:21 AM ETRecent official forecasts from Indonesia’s meteorological agency highlight a narrow 30–33 °C range for Jakarta on May 16 amid the early dry-season transition, which reduces cloud cover and increases solar heating while equatorial stability and light winds suppress further warming. This climatological baseline, reinforced by the urban heat-island effect at the official Halim Perdanakusuma station, underpins the overwhelming 98.8 % market-implied probability for a 33 °C peak. The consensus reflects historical May averages near 32 °C and current model agreement that any convective development will remain brief and localized. A sudden intensification of afternoon showers or a last-minute steering-pattern shift could still cap readings at 32 °C, though such outcomes currently carry only fractional odds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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