MetService New Zealand’s short-range forecast has locked in a 13°C daytime maximum for Wellington on May 16 under steady southeasterly flow, persistent low cloud, and scattered showers that sharply limit solar heating. These synoptic conditions align with typical mid-autumn patterns for the region, where cooler maritime air and reduced insolation keep afternoon temperatures pinned near the seasonal average of 13–14°C at Wellington International Airport. Trader consensus at 100% for the 13°C band reflects the tight uncertainty once the 24-hour window opens, with only marginal upside possible if winds briefly ease or cloud breaks allow extra warming. A rapid northerly shift or clearer skies could still nudge readings to 14°C, though current model agreement assigns low probability to such deviations before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Wellington on May 16?
Highest temperature in Wellington on May 16?
13°C 100.0%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
16°C or higher <1%
$48,907 交易量
$48,907 交易量
2026-05-16
13°C
100%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C or higher
<1%
13°C 100.0%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
16°C or higher <1%
$48,907 交易量
$48,907 交易量
2026-05-16
13°C
$12,801 交易量
100%
14°C
$9,205 交易量
<1%
15°C
$4,643 交易量
<1%
16°C or higher
$3,478 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.MetService New Zealand’s short-range forecast has locked in a 13°C daytime maximum for Wellington on May 16 under steady southeasterly flow, persistent low cloud, and scattered showers that sharply limit solar heating. These synoptic conditions align with typical mid-autumn patterns for the region, where cooler maritime air and reduced insolation keep afternoon temperatures pinned near the seasonal average of 13–14°C at Wellington International Airport. Trader consensus at 100% for the 13°C band reflects the tight uncertainty once the 24-hour window opens, with only marginal upside possible if winds briefly ease or cloud breaks allow extra warming. A rapid northerly shift or clearer skies could still nudge readings to 14°C, though current model agreement assigns low probability to such deviations before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 14, 2026, 12:41 AM ET
交易量
$48,907结束日期
2026-05-16市场开放时间
May 14, 2026, 12:41 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.MetService New Zealand’s short-range forecast has locked in a 13°C daytime maximum for Wellington on May 16 under steady southeasterly flow, persistent low cloud, and scattered showers that sharply limit solar heating. These synoptic conditions align with typical mid-autumn patterns for the region, where cooler maritime air and reduced insolation keep afternoon temperatures pinned near the seasonal average of 13–14°C at Wellington International Airport. Trader consensus at 100% for the 13°C band reflects the tight uncertainty once the 24-hour window opens, with only marginal upside possible if winds briefly ease or cloud breaks allow extra warming. A rapid northerly shift or clearer skies could still nudge readings to 14°C, though current model agreement assigns low probability to such deviations before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$48,907结束日期
2026-05-16市场开放时间
May 14, 2026, 12:41 AM ETMetService New Zealand’s short-range forecast has locked in a 13°C daytime maximum for Wellington on May 16 under steady southeasterly flow, persistent low cloud, and scattered showers that sharply limit solar heating. These synoptic conditions align with typical mid-autumn patterns for the region, where cooler maritime air and reduced insolation keep afternoon temperatures pinned near the seasonal average of 13–14°C at Wellington International Airport. Trader consensus at 100% for the 13°C band reflects the tight uncertainty once the 24-hour window opens, with only marginal upside possible if winds briefly ease or cloud breaks allow extra warming. A rapid northerly shift or clearer skies could still nudge readings to 14°C, though current model agreement assigns low probability to such deviations before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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