MetService New Zealand’s latest short-range guidance centers Wellington’s May 17 maximum near 14 °C under mainly fine conditions with southeasterly flow and limited cloud cover, placing that outcome at the head of trader consensus. Mid-autumn climatology for the region shows average daily highs of 13–15 °C, modulated by the strength and timing of southerly surges versus lighter northerly mixing; current model runs favor the upper half of that envelope. The 13 °C and 15 °C brackets remain live because a modest shift in cloud timing or wind direction before midday could trim or add one degree. With resolution set for tomorrow afternoon’s official reading at Wellington International Airport, the next MetService update tonight and any overnight model adjustments will determine whether the market tightens further around 14 °C or rebalances toward the adjacent outcomes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于5月17日惠灵顿的最高温度?
14°C 50%
13°C 26%
15°C 18%
12°C 8%
$16,744 交易量
$16,744 交易量
8°C或以下
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
8%
13°C
26%
14°C
50%
15°C
18%
16°C
2%
17°C
<1%
18°C或更高
<1%
14°C 50%
13°C 26%
15°C 18%
12°C 8%
$16,744 交易量
$16,744 交易量
8°C或以下
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
8%
13°C
26%
14°C
50%
15°C
18%
16°C
2%
17°C
<1%
18°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
MetService New Zealand’s latest short-range guidance centers Wellington’s May 17 maximum near 14 °C under mainly fine conditions with southeasterly flow and limited cloud cover, placing that outcome at the head of trader consensus. Mid-autumn climatology for the region shows average daily highs of 13–15 °C, modulated by the strength and timing of southerly surges versus lighter northerly mixing; current model runs favor the upper half of that envelope. The 13 °C and 15 °C brackets remain live because a modest shift in cloud timing or wind direction before midday could trim or add one degree. With resolution set for tomorrow afternoon’s official reading at Wellington International Airport, the next MetService update tonight and any overnight model adjustments will determine whether the market tightens further around 14 °C or rebalances toward the adjacent outcomes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题