Current ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System indicate Paris overnight lows on May 20 will likely settle between 9°C and 12°C under a mild spring regime driven by Atlantic westerlies and variable cloud cover that tempers radiational cooling. Trader consensus around the 11°C and 16°C-or-higher buckets reflects this narrow model spread, with slight edge to warmer outcomes if southerly flow strengthens and suppresses clear-sky drops. Minor probability in the 7–8°C range accounts for any late frontal passage or localized clear conditions that could enhance nighttime heat loss, though historical May climatology shows such excursions below 9°C are uncommon without a strong high-pressure block. Updated model runs tomorrow will refine the exact minimum at the Paris-Le Bourget station.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于5月20日巴黎最低气温？
5月20日巴黎最低气温？
16°C或更高 49%
11°C 48%
9°C 46%
10°C 46%
最新
最新
2026-05-20
6°C或以下
3%
7°C
-
8°C
42%
9°C
46%
10°C
46%
11°C
48%
12°C
46%
13°C
46%
14°C
45%
15°C
42%
16°C或更高
49%
16°C或更高 49%
11°C 48%
9°C 46%
10°C 46%
最新
最新
2026-05-20
6°C或以下
$71 交易量
3%
7°C
$110 交易量
-
8°C
$0 交易量
42%
9°C
$0 交易量
46%
10°C
$0 交易量
46%
11°C
$0 交易量
48%
12°C
$25 交易量
46%
13°C
$0 交易量
46%
14°C
$0 交易量
45%
15°C
$0 交易量
42%
16°C或更高
$50 交易量
49%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System indicate Paris overnight lows on May 20 will likely settle between 9°C and 12°C under a mild spring regime driven by Atlantic westerlies and variable cloud cover that tempers radiational cooling. Trader consensus around the 11°C and 16°C-or-higher buckets reflects this narrow model spread, with slight edge to warmer outcomes if southerly flow strengthens and suppresses clear-sky drops. Minor probability in the 7–8°C range accounts for any late frontal passage or localized clear conditions that could enhance nighttime heat loss, though historical May climatology shows such excursions below 9°C are uncommon without a strong high-pressure block. Updated model runs tomorrow will refine the exact minimum at the Paris-Le Bourget station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$257结束日期
2026-05-20市场开放时间
May 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System indicate Paris overnight lows on May 20 will likely settle between 9°C and 12°C under a mild spring regime driven by Atlantic westerlies and variable cloud cover that tempers radiational cooling. Trader consensus around the 11°C and 16°C-or-higher buckets reflects this narrow model spread, with slight edge to warmer outcomes if southerly flow strengthens and suppresses clear-sky drops. Minor probability in the 7–8°C range accounts for any late frontal passage or localized clear conditions that could enhance nighttime heat loss, though historical May climatology shows such excursions below 9°C are uncommon without a strong high-pressure block. Updated model runs tomorrow will refine the exact minimum at the Paris-Le Bourget station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$257结束日期
2026-05-20市场开放时间
May 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ETCurrent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System indicate Paris overnight lows on May 20 will likely settle between 9°C and 12°C under a mild spring regime driven by Atlantic westerlies and variable cloud cover that tempers radiational cooling. Trader consensus around the 11°C and 16°C-or-higher buckets reflects this narrow model spread, with slight edge to warmer outcomes if southerly flow strengthens and suppresses clear-sky drops. Minor probability in the 7–8°C range accounts for any late frontal passage or localized clear conditions that could enhance nighttime heat loss, though historical May climatology shows such excursions below 9°C are uncommon without a strong high-pressure block. Updated model runs tomorrow will refine the exact minimum at the Paris-Le Bourget station.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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