Latest ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and the ECMWF project Paris overnight lows near 8–9 °C on May 18, driven by a moderating Atlantic air mass, persistent low-level cloud cover, and light southwesterly winds that limit nocturnal radiative cooling at the Paris-Le Bourget reference station. Model spread remains modest, with slight differences in boundary-layer moisture and timing of any clearing skies creating the tight clustering of implied probabilities around the 8 °C and 9 °C outcomes. Historical May climatology for the region shows average minimums of 10–11 °C, so the current cool anomaly stems directly from the ongoing cyclonic pattern suppressing daytime heating. Traders will watch the final 00 UTC and 12 UTC model runs tonight and tomorrow morning for any shifts in cloud or wind forecasts that could tip resolution between those two leading bins.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于5月18日巴黎最低气温？
5月18日巴黎最低气温？
9°C 33%
8°C 24%
7°C 16.0%
10°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-05-18
2°C或以下
<1%
3°C
<1%
4°C
1%
5°C
1%
6°C
4%
7°C
16%
8°C
24%
9°C
27%
10°C
11%
11°C
5%
12°C或更高
2%
9°C 33%
8°C 24%
7°C 16.0%
10°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-05-18
2°C或以下
$62 交易量
<1%
3°C
$57 交易量
<1%
4°C
$25 交易量
1%
5°C
$40 交易量
1%
6°C
$56 交易量
4%
7°C
$95 交易量
16%
8°C
$22 交易量
24%
9°C
$95 交易量
27%
10°C
$52 交易量
11%
11°C
$26 交易量
5%
12°C或更高
$500 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and the ECMWF project Paris overnight lows near 8–9 °C on May 18, driven by a moderating Atlantic air mass, persistent low-level cloud cover, and light southwesterly winds that limit nocturnal radiative cooling at the Paris-Le Bourget reference station. Model spread remains modest, with slight differences in boundary-layer moisture and timing of any clearing skies creating the tight clustering of implied probabilities around the 8 °C and 9 °C outcomes. Historical May climatology for the region shows average minimums of 10–11 °C, so the current cool anomaly stems directly from the ongoing cyclonic pattern suppressing daytime heating. Traders will watch the final 00 UTC and 12 UTC model runs tonight and tomorrow morning for any shifts in cloud or wind forecasts that could tip resolution between those two leading bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$1,031结束日期
2026-05-18市场开放时间
May 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and the ECMWF project Paris overnight lows near 8–9 °C on May 18, driven by a moderating Atlantic air mass, persistent low-level cloud cover, and light southwesterly winds that limit nocturnal radiative cooling at the Paris-Le Bourget reference station. Model spread remains modest, with slight differences in boundary-layer moisture and timing of any clearing skies creating the tight clustering of implied probabilities around the 8 °C and 9 °C outcomes. Historical May climatology for the region shows average minimums of 10–11 °C, so the current cool anomaly stems directly from the ongoing cyclonic pattern suppressing daytime heating. Traders will watch the final 00 UTC and 12 UTC model runs tonight and tomorrow morning for any shifts in cloud or wind forecasts that could tip resolution between those two leading bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$1,031结束日期
2026-05-18市场开放时间
May 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ETLatest ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and the ECMWF project Paris overnight lows near 8–9 °C on May 18, driven by a moderating Atlantic air mass, persistent low-level cloud cover, and light southwesterly winds that limit nocturnal radiative cooling at the Paris-Le Bourget reference station. Model spread remains modest, with slight differences in boundary-layer moisture and timing of any clearing skies creating the tight clustering of implied probabilities around the 8 °C and 9 °C outcomes. Historical May climatology for the region shows average minimums of 10–11 °C, so the current cool anomaly stems directly from the ongoing cyclonic pattern suppressing daytime heating. Traders will watch the final 00 UTC and 12 UTC model runs tonight and tomorrow morning for any shifts in cloud or wind forecasts that could tip resolution between those two leading bins.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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