A stable high-pressure ridge over central Anatolia, combined with mostly sunny skies and light southwesterly flow, is driving trader consensus toward a 20–21 °C peak in Ankara today, as shown by the latest Turkish State Meteorological Service model runs. These conditions promote modest daytime heating under clear to partly cloudy skies typical of mid-May, when climatological afternoon maxima average near 22 °C at the Esenboğa International Airport station that resolves the market. ECMWF and GFS ensembles align closely on this range, with minimal disagreement in short-range guidance, while historical data indicate such synoptic patterns rarely push extremes beyond the low-20s °C. Resolution hinges on the official daily maximum observed through midnight local time, leaving little room for late shifts absent unexpected cloud or wind changes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Ankara on May 16?
20°C 52%
19°C 20%
21°C 20%
18°C 4.0%
$27,209 交易量
$27,209 交易量
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
3%
18°C
4%
19°C
20%
20°C
52%
21°C
20%
22°C
3%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
20°C 52%
19°C 20%
21°C 20%
18°C 4.0%
$27,209 交易量
$27,209 交易量
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
3%
18°C
4%
19°C
20%
20°C
52%
21°C
20%
22°C
3%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: May 14, 2026, 12:23 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
A stable high-pressure ridge over central Anatolia, combined with mostly sunny skies and light southwesterly flow, is driving trader consensus toward a 20–21 °C peak in Ankara today, as shown by the latest Turkish State Meteorological Service model runs. These conditions promote modest daytime heating under clear to partly cloudy skies typical of mid-May, when climatological afternoon maxima average near 22 °C at the Esenboğa International Airport station that resolves the market. ECMWF and GFS ensembles align closely on this range, with minimal disagreement in short-range guidance, while historical data indicate such synoptic patterns rarely push extremes beyond the low-20s °C. Resolution hinges on the official daily maximum observed through midnight local time, leaving little room for late shifts absent unexpected cloud or wind changes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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