Latest forecasts from Indonesia’s BMKG point to a daily maximum of 33–34 °C in Jakarta on May 18, placing these two outcomes in a near-tie within the market. Mid-May climatology shows typical highs clustered between 32 °C and 35 °C under the influence of the early dry-season transition, with an urban heat-island effect often adding 1–2 °C above regional averages. Ensemble model guidance currently favors partly cloudy conditions with light sea-breeze moderation and low convective rainfall risk, keeping the peak near the upper end of the historical distribution. Any late-model shift toward increased cloud cover or isolated showers could cap temperatures at 33 °C, while clearer skies would favor 34 °C; resolution hinges on the official Halim Perdanakusuma station reading.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于5月18日雅加达的最高温度?
34°C 29%
33°C 28%
32°C 14%
31°C 10%
27°C或以下
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
10%
32°C
14%
33°C
28%
34°C
29%
35°C
9%
36°C
3%
37°C或更高
2%
34°C 29%
33°C 28%
32°C 14%
31°C 10%
27°C或以下
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
10%
32°C
14%
33°C
28%
34°C
29%
35°C
9%
36°C
3%
37°C或更高
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: May 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Latest forecasts from Indonesia’s BMKG point to a daily maximum of 33–34 °C in Jakarta on May 18, placing these two outcomes in a near-tie within the market. Mid-May climatology shows typical highs clustered between 32 °C and 35 °C under the influence of the early dry-season transition, with an urban heat-island effect often adding 1–2 °C above regional averages. Ensemble model guidance currently favors partly cloudy conditions with light sea-breeze moderation and low convective rainfall risk, keeping the peak near the upper end of the historical distribution. Any late-model shift toward increased cloud cover or isolated showers could cap temperatures at 33 °C, while clearer skies would favor 34 °C; resolution hinges on the official Halim Perdanakusuma station reading.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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