Current ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF models place Shanghai’s maximum temperature at 26°C on May 16 under stable subtropical high-pressure conditions, with moderate humidity and light easterly flow limiting afternoon heating. This aligns with observed morning readings near 24°C at Pudong International Airport and typical mid-May climatology for the region, where sea-breeze moderation often caps peaks. The market’s near-certain pricing around 26°C reflects tight model agreement, yet a sudden wind shift or reduced cloud cover could allow brief spikes toward 27°C before resolution on official station data.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Shanghai on May 16?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on May 16?
26°C 100.0%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$158,876 交易量
$158,876 交易量
2026-05-16
26°C
100%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
26°C 100.0%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$158,876 交易量
$158,876 交易量
2026-05-16
26°C
$13,921 交易量
100%
27°C
$13,276 交易量
<1%
28°C
$25,494 交易量
<1%
29°C
$11,632 交易量
<1%
30°C
$6,793 交易量
<1%
31°C or higher
$5,076 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF models place Shanghai’s maximum temperature at 26°C on May 16 under stable subtropical high-pressure conditions, with moderate humidity and light easterly flow limiting afternoon heating. This aligns with observed morning readings near 24°C at Pudong International Airport and typical mid-May climatology for the region, where sea-breeze moderation often caps peaks. The market’s near-certain pricing around 26°C reflects tight model agreement, yet a sudden wind shift or reduced cloud cover could allow brief spikes toward 27°C before resolution on official station data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 14, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
交易量
$158,876结束日期
2026-05-16市场开放时间
May 14, 2026, 12:08 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF models place Shanghai’s maximum temperature at 26°C on May 16 under stable subtropical high-pressure conditions, with moderate humidity and light easterly flow limiting afternoon heating. This aligns with observed morning readings near 24°C at Pudong International Airport and typical mid-May climatology for the region, where sea-breeze moderation often caps peaks. The market’s near-certain pricing around 26°C reflects tight model agreement, yet a sudden wind shift or reduced cloud cover could allow brief spikes toward 27°C before resolution on official station data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$158,876结束日期
2026-05-16市场开放时间
May 14, 2026, 12:08 AM ETCurrent ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF models place Shanghai’s maximum temperature at 26°C on May 16 under stable subtropical high-pressure conditions, with moderate humidity and light easterly flow limiting afternoon heating. This aligns with observed morning readings near 24°C at Pudong International Airport and typical mid-May climatology for the region, where sea-breeze moderation often caps peaks. The market’s near-certain pricing around 26°C reflects tight model agreement, yet a sudden wind shift or reduced cloud cover could allow brief spikes toward 27°C before resolution on official station data.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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