Latest ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System models show Shanghai’s daily maximum temperature on May 17 clustering tightly around 26–27°C under stable high-pressure conditions and light southerly flow. This consensus underpins the market’s clear preference for 26°C at 44.5 percent implied probability, followed closely by 27°C at 30.5 percent. Recent model runs have shown minimal spread, with no significant frontal systems or moisture surges expected to alter peak readings. Historical May averages near 25°C provide context, yet the current pattern favors a modest uptick. Traders will watch the final 12-hour updates from the Shanghai Meteorological Service for any late adjustments to cloud cover or wind that could shift the exact maximum by a degree.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于5月17日上海气温最高？
5月17日上海气温最高？
26°C 44%
27°C 31%
28°C 14%
25°C 11%
最新
$22,819 交易量
最新
$22,819 交易量
2026-05-17
21°C或以下
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
11%
26°C
44%
27°C
31%
28°C
14%
29°C
4%
30°C
1%
31°C或更高
<1%
26°C 44%
27°C 31%
28°C 14%
25°C 11%
最新
$22,819 交易量
最新
$22,819 交易量
2026-05-17
21°C或以下
$1,091 交易量
<1%
22°C
$4,398 交易量
<1%
23°C
$4,362 交易量
1%
24°C
$3,269 交易量
1%
25°C
$1,477 交易量
11%
26°C
$1,822 交易量
44%
27°C
$1,330 交易量
31%
28°C
$1,050 交易量
14%
29°C
$1,520 交易量
4%
30°C
$694 交易量
1%
31°C或更高
$1,849 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System models show Shanghai’s daily maximum temperature on May 17 clustering tightly around 26–27°C under stable high-pressure conditions and light southerly flow. This consensus underpins the market’s clear preference for 26°C at 44.5 percent implied probability, followed closely by 27°C at 30.5 percent. Recent model runs have shown minimal spread, with no significant frontal systems or moisture surges expected to alter peak readings. Historical May averages near 25°C provide context, yet the current pattern favors a modest uptick. Traders will watch the final 12-hour updates from the Shanghai Meteorological Service for any late adjustments to cloud cover or wind that could shift the exact maximum by a degree.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
交易量
$22,819结束日期
2026-05-17市场开放时间
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System models show Shanghai’s daily maximum temperature on May 17 clustering tightly around 26–27°C under stable high-pressure conditions and light southerly flow. This consensus underpins the market’s clear preference for 26°C at 44.5 percent implied probability, followed closely by 27°C at 30.5 percent. Recent model runs have shown minimal spread, with no significant frontal systems or moisture surges expected to alter peak readings. Historical May averages near 25°C provide context, yet the current pattern favors a modest uptick. Traders will watch the final 12-hour updates from the Shanghai Meteorological Service for any late adjustments to cloud cover or wind that could shift the exact maximum by a degree.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$22,819结束日期
2026-05-17市场开放时间
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETLatest ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System models show Shanghai’s daily maximum temperature on May 17 clustering tightly around 26–27°C under stable high-pressure conditions and light southerly flow. This consensus underpins the market’s clear preference for 26°C at 44.5 percent implied probability, followed closely by 27°C at 30.5 percent. Recent model runs have shown minimal spread, with no significant frontal systems or moisture surges expected to alter peak readings. Historical May averages near 25°C provide context, yet the current pattern favors a modest uptick. Traders will watch the final 12-hour updates from the Shanghai Meteorological Service for any late adjustments to cloud cover or wind that could shift the exact maximum by a degree.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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