Trader consensus has settled overwhelmingly on 27°C as the highest temperature recorded in São Paulo on May 16, driven by official meteorological observations that aligned closely with seasonal climatology for the region. Mid-May typically features average daily maxima near 23–25°C under stable subtropical high-pressure systems, with minimal influence from transient fronts or enhanced moisture transport that could push readings higher. Recent model runs from Brazilian meteorological agencies showed no significant warm advection or clear-sky radiative heating anomalies that would support an outlier day above 28°C. This positioning reflects the aggregated assessment of real-time station data and forecast verification rather than any atypical atmospheric setup. Only an unforeseen localized heat burst or post-event data revision could realistically alter the outcome before final resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于5月16日圣保罗的最高温度？
5月16日圣保罗的最高温度？
27°C 100.0%
28℃ <1%
29°C或更高 <1%
$86,884 交易量
$86,884 交易量
2026-05-16
27°C
100%
28℃
<1%
29°C或更高
<1%
27°C 100.0%
28℃ <1%
29°C或更高 <1%
$86,884 交易量
$86,884 交易量
2026-05-16
27°C
$8,306 交易量
100%
28℃
$8,393 交易量
<1%
29°C或更高
$11,022 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus has settled overwhelmingly on 27°C as the highest temperature recorded in São Paulo on May 16, driven by official meteorological observations that aligned closely with seasonal climatology for the region. Mid-May typically features average daily maxima near 23–25°C under stable subtropical high-pressure systems, with minimal influence from transient fronts or enhanced moisture transport that could push readings higher. Recent model runs from Brazilian meteorological agencies showed no significant warm advection or clear-sky radiative heating anomalies that would support an outlier day above 28°C. This positioning reflects the aggregated assessment of real-time station data and forecast verification rather than any atypical atmospheric setup. Only an unforeseen localized heat burst or post-event data revision could realistically alter the outcome before final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
交易量
$86,884结束日期
2026-05-16市场开放时间
May 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus has settled overwhelmingly on 27°C as the highest temperature recorded in São Paulo on May 16, driven by official meteorological observations that aligned closely with seasonal climatology for the region. Mid-May typically features average daily maxima near 23–25°C under stable subtropical high-pressure systems, with minimal influence from transient fronts or enhanced moisture transport that could push readings higher. Recent model runs from Brazilian meteorological agencies showed no significant warm advection or clear-sky radiative heating anomalies that would support an outlier day above 28°C. This positioning reflects the aggregated assessment of real-time station data and forecast verification rather than any atypical atmospheric setup. Only an unforeseen localized heat burst or post-event data revision could realistically alter the outcome before final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$86,884结束日期
2026-05-16市场开放时间
May 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ETTrader consensus has settled overwhelmingly on 27°C as the highest temperature recorded in São Paulo on May 16, driven by official meteorological observations that aligned closely with seasonal climatology for the region. Mid-May typically features average daily maxima near 23–25°C under stable subtropical high-pressure systems, with minimal influence from transient fronts or enhanced moisture transport that could push readings higher. Recent model runs from Brazilian meteorological agencies showed no significant warm advection or clear-sky radiative heating anomalies that would support an outlier day above 28°C. This positioning reflects the aggregated assessment of real-time station data and forecast verification rather than any atypical atmospheric setup. Only an unforeseen localized heat burst or post-event data revision could realistically alter the outcome before final resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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