National Weather Service guidance for Miami International Airport indicates a high temperature near 88°F on May 16, driven by a persistent upper-level ridge fostering warm, humid conditions with sea surface temperatures around 84°F. Recent observations show highs of 88°F on May 12-13, aligning with May climatological averages of 87°F, though afternoon sea breeze convergence and 50-60% thunderstorm chances could suppress peaks by increasing cloud cover and downdrafts. Model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF show consensus for mid-to-upper 80s, with minimal spread; ENSO-neutral conditions transitioning toward El Niño (61% chance by late May per NOAA) offer little short-term influence. Watch tomorrow's 12Z model runs and NWS updates for refinements ahead of resolution based on official KMIA observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Miami on May 16?
Highest temperature in Miami on May 16?
88-89°F 39%
86-87°F 22%
90-91°F 17%
92-93°F 9%
79°F or below
1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
3%
84-85°F
5%
86-87°F
22%
88-89°F
39%
90-91°F
17%
92-93°F
9%
94-95°F
1%
96-97°F
1%
98°F or higher
1%
88-89°F 39%
86-87°F 22%
90-91°F 17%
92-93°F 9%
79°F or below
1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
3%
84-85°F
5%
86-87°F
22%
88-89°F
39%
90-91°F
17%
92-93°F
9%
94-95°F
1%
96-97°F
1%
98°F or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: May 14, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
National Weather Service guidance for Miami International Airport indicates a high temperature near 88°F on May 16, driven by a persistent upper-level ridge fostering warm, humid conditions with sea surface temperatures around 84°F. Recent observations show highs of 88°F on May 12-13, aligning with May climatological averages of 87°F, though afternoon sea breeze convergence and 50-60% thunderstorm chances could suppress peaks by increasing cloud cover and downdrafts. Model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF show consensus for mid-to-upper 80s, with minimal spread; ENSO-neutral conditions transitioning toward El Niño (61% chance by late May per NOAA) offer little short-term influence. Watch tomorrow's 12Z model runs and NWS updates for refinements ahead of resolution based on official KMIA observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题